How to Lead a Tech Company Through Crisis

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January 29, 2016
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Tech in Asia
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How to Lead a Tech Company Through Crisis

TL;DR

Survival sometimes requires choosing a deeply flawed option over certain failure, as Ben Horowitz did when Loudcloud went public after 18 months because the alternative was bankruptcy. He argues that public-market readiness depends less on age than on governance, financial resilience, and the ability to keep investing in new products despite pressure from short-term shareholders.

Transcript

I like to introduce a Ryan Leslie song which I'm impressed that you had that that that's really so yeah Ben were very excited to have you here today we have a lot to go over but first let's talk about the early days in career you were in two very iconic companies Silicon Graphics and then Netscape right yeah and we love to hear you know who kind of... Read More

Key Insights

  • Exceptional technical skill can reshape a person's career direction. At Silicon Graphics, Horowitz watched his manager diagnose operating-system failures by interpreting raw hexadecimal memory data, an experience that convinced Horowitz he did not want to develop the same depth of operating-system expertise as an engineer.
  • High Output Management is a practical guide to managing rather than a celebration of its author. Horowitz found Andy Grove's 1983 book remarkable because the Intel chief executive took the time to publish a usable management manual, and its ideas continued influencing Horowitz throughout his career.
  • Loudcloud was founded in 1999 as an early cloud computing company. Horowitz says the company attached the word cloud to computing, but the concept arrived before commodity hardware, virtualization, and other technologies that later became essential to successful cloud offerings such as AWS.
  • Rapid growth does not guarantee business durability. Loudcloud booked $12 million during its first three months and $27 million in its third quarter, yet it was also consuming tremendous amounts of cash and became vulnerable when the dot-com crash closed private funding markets.
  • A difficult executive decision often means selecting the less destructive of two bad outcomes. Loudcloud was not ready to become public after 18 months, but Horowitz chose a troubled initial public offering because the only available alternative was bankruptcy.
  • Public-company readiness depends on structural and financial preparation, not simply company age. Horowitz identifies two classes of stock as protection against short-term activist pressure, plus a large cash balance, positive cash flow, or some combination that reduces dependence on future fundraising.
  • Technology companies must retain the ability to invest in new products. Horowitz argues that a product cycle can expire in seven years or less, while short-term investors may resist the spending required to create replacements if founders do not maintain sufficient control over the company.
  • Facing the worst-case outcome honestly can clarify action even when it offers no emotional comfort. During Loudcloud's crisis, Horowitz listed the consequences of bankruptcy, including investor losses, layoffs, reputational damage, and the end of his career, which exposed the severity of remaining on the current course.
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Questions & Answers

Q: How should a CEO make decisions when every option is bad?

A CEO should compare the actual consequences of each available option rather than wait for an attractive choice to appear. Horowitz describes Loudcloud's early public offering as clearly premature, volatile, and likely to attract harsh press. However, private financing had disappeared, so the competing outcome was bankruptcy. He chose the damaging but survivable path because it preserved the company and gave investors a chance to recover value.

Q: Why did Loudcloud go public only 18 months after it was founded?

Loudcloud went public because the dot-com crash had shut down private funding while the company was burning substantial cash. Horowitz says the choice was not between a good initial public offering and a better financing option. It was between going public and going bankrupt. Although the company was unprepared and the process was labeled the IPO from hell, the offering allowed Loudcloud to survive.

Q: When is a technology startup ready to go public?

Public-market readiness depends more on governance and financial strength than on reaching a particular age. Horowitz says a technology company needs two classes of stock to defend long-term product investment from activist shareholders with short-term goals. It also needs a large cash balance, positive cash flow, or a combination of both, because a money-losing public company can become vulnerable to short sellers before another financing.

Q: Why does a public technology company need two classes of stock?

Two classes of stock can preserve enough control for a technology company to continue investing in new products despite pressure from shareholders focused on near-term results. Horowitz argues that technology product cycles eventually run out, potentially in seven years or less. Without voting control, investors may prevent management from funding the next generation of products, placing the company's long-term survival at risk.

Q: Why is positive cash flow important before going public?

Positive cash flow reduces a public company's dependence on raising more money when market conditions or its share price become unfavorable. Horowitz says short sellers can circulate negative information easily, while regulations and litigation risks make corporate responses difficult. If investors know a money-losing company will eventually require a secondary offering, they can keep pressure on its stock price, creating a persistently weak position.

Q: What caused Loudcloud's original market to collapse?

Loudcloud's market deteriorated after major bankruptcies destroyed customer confidence in outsourced computing services. Horowitz highlights Exodus, which went from a reported value of $50 billion to bankruptcy in roughly ten months. Customers could no longer trust that service providers would remain solvent, so demand for Loudcloud's offering disappeared while the company was still consuming substantial cash and facing severe financial pressure.

Q: What management lessons did Ben Horowitz learn early in his career?

Horowitz learned different lessons from technical work, business colleagues, and management writing. At Silicon Graphics, Chris Wagner demonstrated extraordinary operating-system knowledge by diagnosing failures from raw memory data. At Netscape, Marc Andreessen influenced Horowitz through creative thinking. For management practice, Andy Grove's High Output Management became especially important because it offered a concrete manual that remained relevant throughout Horowitz's career.

Q: How can confronting the worst-case scenario help a founder?

Confronting the worst-case scenario forces a founder to identify what the current course will actually produce. During Loudcloud's crisis, Horowitz considered bankruptcy, the loss of investor money, layoffs for employees who trusted him, damage to his name, and the possible end of his career. The exercise did not make him feel better, but it removed comforting ambiguity and clarified that continuing unchanged was unacceptable.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Ben Horowitz traces his early development from engineering at Silicon Graphics to working at Netscape. He credits an exceptionally skilled manager with showing him the depth required for operating-system engineering, Marc Andreessen with demonstrating creative thinking, and Andy Grove's High Output Management with providing a practical and enduring manual for managers.

  • Loudcloud began in 1999 as an early attempt at cloud computing and booked $12 million in its first three months, followed by $27 million in its third quarter. The company grew rapidly but burned substantial cash, then faced collapsing private markets and completed a difficult initial public offering only 18 months after its founding.

  • Horowitz presents leadership as the discipline of choosing among painful alternatives when no attractive option exists. Loudcloud went public because bankruptcy was the only alternative, then later faced a vanished market and pivoted while public. He emphasizes readiness, voting control, financial strength, product investment, and honest confrontation with worst-case outcomes.


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