How to balance accuracy latency and cost at scale

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December 17, 2024
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OpenAI
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How to balance accuracy latency and cost at scale

TL;DR

To scale AI apps you should start with the most accurate model until you hit a business-defined accuracy target, then shift to faster and cheaper options while maintaining that accuracy. Use eval driven development with unit and end to end tests, and apply cost models to decide when production readiness is met. This approach lowers cost and latency without sacrificing needed accuracy.

Transcript

[ Applause ] -You built an app and its user base is expanding, quickly. Doubling or more. And the growth isn't slowing down. The success is exciting, but the challenge is scaling sustainably. What worked for a 1,000 users, often doesn't extend to one million. You'll need to make critical decisions about which LLM's to use, how to predict and manage... Read More

Key Insights

  • Accuracy targets drive model selection and production readiness. The baseline evaluations include both component and end to end tests to ensure reliable outputs. The risk of divergence in complex networks is mitigated with automated red team tests. The cost model uses a large sample to quantify ROI and set targets.
  • Latency and cost optimization follows once accuracy targets are achieved, aiming to keep accuracy while using the cheapest fastest model possible. This includes choosing between 4o mini and more capable models depending on needs.
  • Eval driven development is recommended to scale AI networks, with continuous testing for regressions after changes to prompts, tools, or routing logic. Automated tests help catch how changes affect the whole network.
  • Production readiness hinges on defining an accuracy target that aligns with business value, then validating that target with real world data and ROI calculations. The plan is to ship when the target delivers measurable ROI.
  • A practical example shows how a cost model comparing savings from correct first attempts and losses from escalations helps set a break-even accuracy, guiding deployment decisions in customer service applications.
  • The approach emphasizes balancing multiple factors such as model capability, response speed, and operational cost to achieve sustainable growth as user demand scales.
  • OpenAI recommends a staged optimization: start with accuracy, then optimize for latency and cost while preserving the accuracy level. This avoids over-optimizing prematurely and ensures ROI.
  • The overall message is that there is no one-size-fits-all playbook; the best results come from deliberate tradeoffs based on data, evaluations, and business impact.
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Questions & Answers

Q: How to determine when to switch from a high accuracy model to a faster cheaper option?

The decision is based on an accuracy target tied to business value, established through evaluations and ROI modeling. Once the accuracy target is met, you optimize for latency and cost while maintaining that accuracy. A cost model can help quantify savings from correct first attempts versus costs from escalations and potential churn, guiding the switch.

Q: What are eval driven developments and why are they important?

Eval driven development means building both component and end to end evaluations to test the system at multiple levels. This approach helps detect regressions when models, prompts, or tools change. It scales by using automated tests, including red team simulations where LLMs pretend to be customers to verify network behavior and routing decisions.

Q: How can automated tests help scale a customer service network?

Automated tests, including red team simulations where customer personas are simulated by LLMs, reveal where the network diverges from expected behavior. They allow testing across many routes, intents, and tools, helping to maintain performance as the network grows from dozens to hundreds of routines and beyond.

Q: What is a practical method to set an accuracy target for production?

Set a target that reflects business impact, such as a level where a majority of tickets are resolved correctly on the first attempt. Use a cost model with real case data to quantify savings and losses from escalations and churn, then compare against the target to determine readiness for production.

Q: Why is divergence a major concern in AI networks and how is it addressed?

Divergence occurs when changes in one part of the network cause unexpected results elsewhere. It is addressed by running extensive evals, including automated tests with simulated customer interactions, to detect how updates affect overall routing and task completion. This helps maintain consistent performance as the system scales.

Q: What role do end to end evaluations play in production readiness?

End to end evaluations measure the full pipeline from input to final output, capturing multi-step reasoning and tool usage. They provide a real signal of how the system will behave in production, complementing unit tests that verify individual components and ensuring the entire network meets the defined accuracy target.

Q: How does cost modeling influence deployment decisions?

Cost modeling translates performance metrics into financial impact, estimating savings from correct first attempts and losses from escalations and churn. It helps decide when a given accuracy target justifies deployment, balancing ROI with user experience and system latency, and guides iterative improvements.

Q: What is the recommended sequence for optimizing an AI stack at scale?

Begin with accuracy by using the most capable model until the target is reached, then reduce latency and cost by selecting faster or smaller models that maintain the target. Continuously validate with evals, monitor ROI, and update prompts or techniques as needed to preserve performance while lowering cost and improving speed.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • This point explains that optimization starts with accuracy targets and ends with cost efficiency, providing a practical framework for balancing model choice, evaluation methods, and rollout risk. The approach emphasizes measurable targets and ROI to guide production readiness and ongoing improvements.

  • The summary discusses eval driven development, including unit and end to end evaluations, to prevent regressions when updating prompts or models. It highlights using automated tests with simulated customers to detect divergence and ensure the network behaves as intended during updates.

  • The final point covers a real-world example of cost modeling in production, showing how business impact and potential churn factor into determining an acceptable accuracy level before deploying at scale.


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