Trump or Desantis, Who Wins? - The 2024 Election Outlook

TL;DR

The speakers predict that Trump is likely to defeat DeSantis in the 2024 Republican primary if several other candidates divide the non-Trump vote. They argue that DeSantis could win a direct contest, while Trump could prevail in a crowded field with roughly 30 percent of the vote. Read on for their reasoning about party coordination, polling shifts, midterm results, and Trump’s social-media strategy.

Transcript

The Joe Rogan Experience this is something I wanted to talk to you about um Trump vs DeSantis in 2024 who's the favorite who do you think wins I don't know do you think that happens it seems like they're they're positioning that right let's see but wouldn't the ultimate be they combine they combine forces but if DeSantis is never going to do that y... Read More

Key Insights

• 😉 DeSantis has positioned himself as the heir apparent to Trump but might have a chance of winning against him if other Republican candidates don't split the vote.
• 🤪 The lack of organization and ego clashes among the other Republican candidates make it difficult to strategize and defeat Trump.
• 😤 DeSantis differs from Trump in his approach to endorsing him and his willingness to team up with him, making him a potential alternative to Trump.
• 🪡 The Republican Party needs to focus on unity and strategic decision-making if they want to have a chance against Trump in the 2024 election.
• 💦 Trump's continued focus on the 2020 election and his whiny demeanor might work against him in a potential race against DeSantis.
• 💇 DeSantis's governing style aligns more with establishment Republicans, favoring tax cuts for the wealthy and protecting corporations.
• 🥳 Marianne Williamson is a potential challenger to Joe Biden in the Democratic party who could bring a more progressive and populist vision.
• 🖤 Biden's lack of a grand vision and his status quo management approach might make him vulnerable to a primary challenge from someone like Williamson.
• 👀 Many Democrats are dissatisfied with Biden's leadership and are looking for a fresh and different approach to politics.

Questions & Answers

Q: Who would win between Trump and DeSantis in the 2024 Republican primary?

The speakers say DeSantis could defeat Trump in a direct contest. However, they predict Trump would probably win a crowded primary because the other candidates would divide the non-Trump vote.

Q: Why could a crowded Republican primary help Trump?

The transcript argues that most candidates would compete for voters who prefer someone other than Trump. With that vote divided, Trump could win with roughly 30 percent even if his closest opponent received about 21 percent.

Q: Could DeSantis and Trump run together?

The speakers consider combining forces unlikely because of Trump’s ego and his criticism of DeSantis. They also believe DeSantis would be less willing than Ted Cruz was to fall in line behind Trump.

Q: How could Republican candidates improve their chances of defeating Trump?

The proposed strategy is for the candidates to meet privately, set aside their egos, and consolidate behind DeSantis. DeSantis could offer roles such as vice president or Secretary of State to persuade rivals not to run.

Q: Why do the speakers doubt Republicans will unite behind DeSantis?

They say the candidates lack the necessary organization and have large egos. As a result, they expect numerous Republicans to enter the race instead of coordinating around one challenger.

Q: Why was DeSantis described as the heir apparent to Trump?

The transcript characterizes DeSantis as a less intense version of Trump who could inherit his political position. The speakers say he might wait rather than confront Trump immediately, although they also argue that his strongest opportunity may be now.

Q: What did the midterm results suggest about Trump-aligned Republicans?

The speakers say strongly Trump-aligned candidates such as Kari Lake and Doug Mastriano lost their races. They contrast those losses with Brian Kemp’s easy victory in Georgia and conclude that less Trump-aligned Republicans performed better.

Q: Why might Trump return to Twitter and Facebook?

The speakers say Trump needs Twitter and Facebook because those platforms are where people would go to follow him. They also note that leaving Truth Social could anger people who invested in the company because its value was described as closely tied to his presence there.

Summary

This video discusses the potential battle between Trump and DeSantis in the 2024 presidential election. It explores the dynamics of their relationship and the challenges DeSantis may face in a crowded Republican field. The video also delves into DeSantis' political record, highlighting his positions on issues like marijuana legalization and the minimum wage. Additionally, it examines the possibility of Trump returning to popular social media platforms and the potential impact of a primary challenge to Biden. The video concludes by discussing the desire for an outsider candidate in the current political climate.

Questions & Answers

Q: Who is considered the favorite between Trump and DeSantis in the 2024 election?

It is uncertain who the favorite is, but DeSantis may have a chance because he is seen as the heir apparent to Trump's base. However, recent polls have shown Trump leading by double digits.

Q: Is there a chance that Trump and DeSantis could team up for the 2024 election?

It is highly unlikely because Trump's ego would never allow him to team up with anyone. While he has brought people into his fold before, DeSantis seems unlikely to do so.

Q: How could DeSantis potentially defeat Trump in a head-to-head race?

DeSantis may stand a chance against Trump in a one-on-one race, but the problem is the crowded field of other Republican candidates. With multiple contenders splitting the non-Trump vote, Trump could win with a lower percentage of the vote.

Q: Is there a possibility for other Republicans to come together to challenge Trump?

While it would be beneficial for other Republicans to unite against Trump, it is unlikely due to their egos and lack of organization. The more likely scenario is that they all run individually and Trump wins with a smaller percentage of the vote.

Q: What are the potential implications of Trump's return to social media platforms?

While it is unclear if Trump will return to all social media platforms, such as Facebook and Twitter, it is likely that he needs to be back on these platforms to maintain visibility. Being on Twitter, in particular, could be crucial for his presence and messaging.

Q: How do DeSantis and Bernie differ in their political ideologies?

DeSantis and Bernie are polar opposites in terms of their political ideologies. While Bernie is seen as more progressive and interested in workers' rights, DeSantis is a staunch establishment Republican with a focus on conservative economic policies.

Q: What are some criticisms against DeSantis' political record?

DeSantis has faced criticism for various aspects of his political record. Some of these include his stance on marijuana legalization, where he believes it should remain criminalized due to its putrid odor. He has also opposed raising the minimum wage and has received significant campaign contributions from Wall Street and the sugar cane industry.

Q: How has DeSantis protected the sugar cane industry from legal accountability?

DeSantis has shielded the sugar cane industry from legal accountability by preventing people from suing them for their harmful practices, such as burning fields. This has led to increased health risks, such as cancer and red tide in Florida.

Q: What makes DeSantis an appealing general election candidate?

DeSantis could be a strong general election candidate because he has the potential to regain the support of moderates who may have drifted away from Trump. His conservative economic policies and establishment background may appeal to a wider range of voters.

Q: Who does the speaker prefer as an alternative to Biden if he drops out?

The speaker expresses interest in Marianne Williamson potentially challenging Biden in a primary. They align with her vision of returning the Democratic Party to being the workers' party and advocating for universal healthcare, education, and higher wages.

Takeaways

In the current political climate, there is a desire for outsider candidates who can bring about real change. While Trump and DeSantis may be popular among Republicans, the preference for an outsider may give DeSantis an advantage over Trump if he is able to secure the nomination. However, DeSantis has faced criticisms regarding his political record, particularly his stance on issues like marijuana legalization and the minimum wage. Overall, the 2024 election is shaping up to be an interesting battle between various candidates, and the outcome will depend on factors like uniting Republicans against Trump and the desire for a fresh perspective in politics.

Summary & Key Takeaways

• The possibility of a Trump vs DeSantis race in the 2024 presidential election is being discussed, with DeSantis having a chance to win if other Republican candidates don't split the vote.

• DeSantis is seen as the heir apparent to Trump but differs from him in his approach to endorsing Trump and his willingness to team up with him.

• The Republican Party needs to come together and strategize to have a better chance against Trump, but the lack of organization and ego clashes make that difficult.