How to Build Wealth With Growth-Stage Stock Grants

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September 13, 2024
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My First Million
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How to Build Wealth With Growth-Stage Stock Grants

TL;DR

Treat a technology job as an investment by targeting a funded, growing company with product-market fit, competitive pay, benefits, and meaningful stock grants. The goal is not maximum upside, but relatively limited downside and enough growth for a $200,000 stock package to potentially exceed $1 million within five years.

Transcript

all right today is everybody's favorite episode it is the Sarah's list episode so we're talking about 10 companies that you can become wealthy with without having started it or invested in it or joined early it's called Sarah's list and I got a little presentation for you if you're on audio get over to YouTube right now CU I have slides that are go... Read More

Key Insights

  • A startup job is an investment decision because employees commit several years of their time and talent to one company. People working in technology can evaluate that commitment similarly to how a venture capitalist evaluates a company, while still earning salary and benefits.
  • Sara’s List targets companies that already have product-market fit, funding, and visible growth. These businesses have moved beyond the earliest phase of searching for a workable product, although their apparent success does not eliminate the possibility of failure.
  • The desired outcome is a $200,000 stock package becoming worth more than $1 million within five years. An illustrative compensation structure combines a $150,000 salary with $50,000 of stock per year, creating meaningful exposure without requiring a direct angel investment.
  • The strategy prioritizes relatively limited downside and adequate upside rather than the largest imaginable return. Employees can join after a company is already an obvious winner if its market position and remaining growth potential still support a fourfold or fivefold increase in valuation.
  • Airbnb illustrates how joining after the highest-risk period can still create wealth. Sara became a self-made millionaire after joining when the company was already valued above $10 billion, possibly around $20 billion, and employed roughly a thousand or more people.
  • The 2021 cohort produced mixed results during a broad startup valuation correction. Each host recorded two companies with step-change gains of roughly threefold or fourfold, while several picks declined and others remained around their previous valuations after three years.
  • Late-stage startup valuations fell substantially after 2021, with average declines described as 30–60 percent. Among startups that completed later financings, about 36 percent raised at lower valuations, excluding companies that failed or avoided fundraising to escape a down round.
  • Employee stock options can be worthless when their strike price exceeds the current share value. The example given is a $24 strike price against an $8 secondary-market price, and the hosts say only 33 percent of employee shares were currently in the money.

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Questions & Answers

Q: How can startup employees build wealth from stock grants?

Employees can treat their choice of employer as an investment of time and talent. The proposed strategy is to join a funded, growing technology company that already has product-market fit, then receive a strong salary, benefits, and a meaningful equity package. The illustrative objective is for $200,000 in stock grants to become worth more than $1 million within five years.

Q: What criteria define a Sara’s List company?

A Sara’s List company has clear product-market fit, sufficient funding, continued growth, competitive salary and benefits, and enough remaining upside for employee stock to appreciate substantially. It should no longer be in the earliest, highly uncertain phase of discovering its business. The framework asks whether its valuation could increase roughly fourfold or fivefold over five years.

Q: Why can joining a late-stage startup still create wealth?

Joining after the earliest stage can still create wealth when a company has already demonstrated that it is a winner but retains substantial room to grow. Airbnb is the example: Sara joined after its valuation had crossed $10 billion, possibly around $20 billion, and after it had a large office and roughly a thousand or more employees, yet her equity still became valuable.

Q: What compensation package does the strategy target?

The framework uses a $200,000 stock package as its core example. One possible structure is a $150,000 salary plus $50,000 of stock per year. The goal is for the equity to increase at least fivefold and exceed $1 million within five years, while the employee continues receiving normal compensation and benefits throughout the holding period.

Q: What risks can make employee stock options worthless?

Employee options can become worthless when the company’s current share price falls below the options’ strike price. The example is an employee holding options with a $24 strike price while shares trade for $8 on a secondary market. The hosts state that two-thirds of employees at these companies were working for options worth zero, with only 33 percent of shares in the money.

Q: How did the original 2021 startup picks perform?

The first cohort produced mixed results after three years. Each host had two picks that increased in a step-change fashion, described as roughly threefold or fourfold gains. One host counted two declining companies, while the other counted three. Several companies were pushes, meaning their valuations remained near prior levels, and the complete five-year evaluation period had not yet passed.

Q: Why are private startup valuations difficult to assess?

Private companies do not always announce current valuations, and media reports may be inaccurate. Financing valuations can also include conditions, caveats, or liquidation preferences that make the headline number misleading. The hosts supplemented public information by asking people who operate secondary stock marketplaces about current trading prices, but they still characterized the available information as incomplete.

Q: Which growth-stage startups are included in the 2024 list?

The 2024 list includes OpenAI, Retool, Mercury, Cursor, Epirus, Wiz, Neuralink, Perplexity AI, Traba, and Replit. The companies are presented as possible employers whose stock grants could appreciate significantly over the following five years. The hosts describe the exercise as something they might use when considering a job and explicitly state that it is not financial advice.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Sara’s List presents employment at the right growth-stage startup as a possible path to wealth without founding a company, making angel investments, joining at the earliest stage, or accepting an unusually risky lifestyle. Employees instead invest their time and talent while receiving a salary, benefits, and potentially valuable stock grants.

  • The selection framework favors companies with demonstrated product-market fit, funding, continued growth, and room for a major valuation increase. Its illustrative target is a $200,000 stock package growing beyond $1 million in five years. This approach seeks relatively limited downside and sufficient upside, rather than the maximum possible return.

  • The 2024 list names OpenAI, Retool, Mercury, Cursor, Epirus, Wiz, Neuralink, Perplexity AI, Traba, and Replit. The hosts present these as prospective employment candidates, not financial advice, and acknowledge that private-company valuations are incomplete, secondary-market information can be uncertain, and employee options may become worthless.


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