The latest INSANE Trump plan! Biden doing better than polls show? | Ballot Box with Bill & Tim | Summary and Q&A

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November 22, 2023
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The Bulwark
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The latest INSANE Trump plan! Biden doing better than polls show? | Ballot Box with Bill & Tim

TL;DR

Voters express frustration with Biden, but Trump's numbers indicate a momentary venting rather than a strong preference. Biden's age and turnout among young and black voters are concerns that can still be addressed.

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Key Insights

  • ๐Ÿคจ Threats and extreme rhetoric have become normalized, raising concerns about the political environment.
  • ๐Ÿฅบ The potential impact of an independent candidate in the Arizona Senate race complicates the dynamics and could lead to unexpected outcomes.
  • ๐Ÿค• Biden's age remains a concern, but his campaign has time and resources to address this issue and make a compelling case to voters.

Transcript

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Questions & Answers

Q: Are the threats made against Tim Miller and Bill Crystal a cause for concern?

While they may not be personally worried, the normalizing of extreme rhetoric and threats against journalists and political figures raise alarm about the current political environment and the potential dangers that could arise.

Q: What impact could an independent candidate have on the Arizona Senate race?

The potential for an independent candidate like Kristen Cinema to draw support from both Republicans and Democrats complicates the race and could lead to unanticipated outcomes, as shown by the current polling.

Q: Can Biden overcome his age problem with a year and sufficient funding?

It is possible for Biden to address concerns about his age and remind voters that Trump is also older. The campaign can leverage resources to highlight Biden's accomplishments and contrast them with Trump's presidency to make a compelling case to voters.

Q: Is the bull case for Biden persuasive?

The argument that Trump's lead in polls reflects frustration with Biden rather than strong preference, and that Biden has an opportunity to rally his base and present a clear choice, is a valid perspective. However, the historical context and global trends of anti-incumbency should still be considered.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Tim Miller and Bill Crystal discuss threats made against them and the alarming trend of normalizing extreme rhetoric.

  • Analysis of the Arizona Senate race reveals concerns over the potential impact of an independent candidate on the Republican nominee Carrie Lake.

  • A poll shows a significant lead for Trump over potential GOP primary candidates, including Nikki Haley, but there is still a year and ample funding to address Biden's age issue.

  • The bull case for Biden suggests that Trump's lead reflects frustration with the current state of affairs and the choice between the two candidates may yield different results.

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