Yuval Noah Harari on the Future of Humanity - Clip

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March 21, 2018
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Yuval Noah Harari on the Future of Humanity - Clip

TL;DR

Yuval Noah Harari argues that humanity’s future may be shaped by automation creating a “useless class,” algorithms understanding people better than they understand themselves, and increasingly individualized discrimination. With the long term now framed as just 20 years, governments struggle to plan while jobs, skills, families, and gender relations remain unpredictable. Read on to explore why these technologies could also threaten liberal democracy and overwhelm human understanding.

Transcript

just as the industrial revolution of the 19th century created the urban working class so the automation revolution of the 21st century might create the useless class and much of the political and social history of the coming decades might revolve around the problems and the hopes and the fears of this new class with disruptive technology the danger... Read More

Key Insights

  • 🤨 The automation revolution brings the potential for significant advancements, but also raises concerns about the creation of a useless class.
  • ❓ Rapid development and adoption of disruptive technologies make it difficult to fully understand the consequences they might bring.
  • ❓ Discrimination will become more personalized as algorithms and systems understand individuals better than they understand themselves.
  • 🍉 Political parties often prioritize short-term goals over long-term planning, leading to a lack of effective strategies.
  • 🌍 Understanding complex cause and effect relationships in the world has become increasingly challenging.
  • 👪 The future is uncertain, with changes in job markets, family structures, and gender relations being unpredictable.
  • 🌍 The complicated nature of the modern world may surpass the cognitive abilities of Homo sapiens.

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Questions & Answers

Q: What does Yuval Noah Harari predict about the future of humanity?

Harari predicts that the automation revolution of the 21st century might create a “useless class,” much as the industrial revolution of the 19th century created the urban working class. He says the problems, hopes, and fears surrounding this new class could shape the political and social history of the coming decades.

Q: Why does Harari consider disruptive technology especially dangerous?

Disruptive technology has wonderful potential, so many forces have good reasons to accelerate its development and adoption. Harari warns that it is very difficult to know the consequences in advance.

Q: How could algorithms threaten liberal democracy?

Harari says algorithms might soon understand people better than they understand themselves, without people even realizing it is happening. If that occurs, he argues that liberal democracy could become an “emotional puppet show.”

Q: How might discrimination change in the coming years?

Harari expects discrimination to become individualized rather than directed at broad groups. It could be based on an accurate assessment of who a particular person is, leaving that individual able to do almost nothing about it.

Q: Why does Harari say the long term is now 20 years?

Harari says time is accelerating, so the long term is no longer 2,000 or 200 years but 20 years. Nobody knows basic features of the world 20 or 30 years from now, including the job market and the skills people will need.

Q: What major social changes does Harari say are unpredictable?

Harari says people do not know what the job market or required skills will look like in 20 or 30 years. He also identifies future family structures and gender relations as unknown.

Q: Why do parties and governments struggle with long-term planning?

Harari says parties and governments are doing a better job than ever before at running countries’ day-to-day business. However, they have almost completely lost the ability to make long-term plans, and many countries instead repackage nostalgic fantasies about the past.

Q: Why might Homo sapiens be unable to understand the modern world?

Harari argues that acting well requires understanding extremely complicated chains of cause and effect, not merely holding good values. He fears humanity has created a world so complicated that Homo sapiens may no longer be able to make sense of what is happening.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • The automation revolution has the potential to create a new class of people, known as the useless class, and this could be a major issue in the future.

  • The consequences of rapidly developing and adopting disruptive technologies are uncertain and may lead to systems that understand humans better than they understand themselves.

  • Discrimination will become individual-based and accurate, leaving individuals helpless in the face of unfair treatment.


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