IPOs in 2020 and the IPO Pop

Kazuki Nakayashiki

Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki

Sep 21, 2023

4 min read

0

IPOs in 2020 and the IPO Pop

In the world of finance, Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) have always been a significant event. It is the moment when a company transitions from being privately held to being publicly traded, allowing individuals and institutional investors to buy shares of the company. The success of an IPO is often measured by the "pop," which refers to the percentage increase in stock price on the first day of trading. In 2020, the IPO market experienced some interesting trends.

Out of the 61 IPOs that took place in the US in 2020, only 25% of the companies ended the day trading lower than their IPO price. This means that the majority of companies saw their stock price rise on their first day of trading. In fact, more than 25% of companies ended the day trading more than 50% higher than their IPO price. This is a clear indication that investors were eager to get their hands on these newly public companies.

The median company that went public in 2020 had a "pop" of 20% on the first day. This means that, on average, investors saw a 20% increase in the stock price from the IPO price. This is a significant jump and highlights the potential for quick gains for those who were able to participate in these IPOs.

However, there is an interesting twist to this story. Despite the excitement and demand for these newly public companies, they actually raised $6.7 billion less than they would have been able to if their IPOs had been priced at what the market valued the company. This discrepancy is a result of the institutional investors' goal to get the stock as cheaply as possible. They want to make a return on their investment, and by pricing the IPOs lower than the market value, they ensure that there is room for the stock price to increase on the first day of trading.

This strategy benefits the institutional investors but may leave some retail investors feeling left out. Retail investors, who do not have the same access to IPO shares as institutional investors, may have to wait until the stock starts trading on the open market before they can buy shares. By that time, the stock price may have already experienced a significant increase, making it less attractive for retail investors.

While IPOs can be a lucrative opportunity for investors, it is essential to approach them with caution. Here are three actionable pieces of advice for those considering investing in IPOs:

  1. Do your research: Before investing in an IPO, make sure to thoroughly research the company. Look at their financials, business model, and growth prospects. Understand the industry they operate in and analyze their competitors. This will help you make an informed decision about whether the IPO is a good investment opportunity.

  2. Be patient: If you are a retail investor and unable to participate in the IPO, it is crucial to be patient. Wait for the stock to start trading on the open market and monitor its performance. Sometimes, the initial excitement surrounding an IPO can lead to an inflated stock price, which may not be sustainable in the long term. By being patient, you can potentially enter the market at a more reasonable price.

  3. Diversify your portfolio: Investing in IPOs can be risky, as the stock price can be volatile in the early stages of trading. To mitigate this risk, it is essential to diversify your portfolio. Spread your investments across different sectors and asset classes to reduce the impact of any single IPO on your overall portfolio.

In conclusion, IPOs in 2020 have shown a strong "pop" trend, with the majority of companies experiencing an increase in stock price on the first day of trading. However, it is important to approach IPOs with caution and conduct thorough research before investing. Retail investors should be patient and consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate risk. By following these actionable pieces of advice, investors can navigate the IPO market more effectively and potentially capitalize on the opportunities it presents.

Sources

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