The Power of Consumer AI: Navigating Network Effects, Scarcity, and Emerging Scenarios

Kazuki

Hatched by Kazuki

Sep 18, 2023

3 min read

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The Power of Consumer AI: Navigating Network Effects, Scarcity, and Emerging Scenarios

Introduction:

Consumer AI has become a driving force in the modern world, revolutionizing how businesses interact with their customers. In this article, we will delve into insights from 30 leading consumer AI founders, operators, and thinkers. By exploring the concepts of network effects, scarcity, and emerging scenarios, we will uncover the power of AI and its impact on consumer behavior. Furthermore, we will provide actionable advice for businesses looking to navigate this rapidly evolving landscape.

Moat Building: From AI to Network Effects

Contrary to popular belief, the true moat in consumer AI lies not solely within the technology itself, but in the network effects, proprietary data, and market positioning. Building a long-term moat requires leveraging these factors effectively. OpenAI, for example, established its dominance by being the first-to-market, coupled with a robust brand built on research papers and founders' profiles. Similarly, startups like JasperAI and Character.AI have gained an edge by being pioneers in their respective niches. Additionally, fostering engaged communities, such as Midjourney's Discord, creates a loyal user base and strengthens the moat. Emphasizing a magical customer experience further solidifies the competitive advantage.

Incumbents vs. Startups: Distribution and Shipping Velocity

Traditional incumbents possess the advantage of distribution, while startups excel in shipping velocity. The former can leverage their existing infrastructure and customer base to drive adoption, while the latter can swiftly iterate and adapt. However, the real differentiating factor lies in the knowledge encompassed by context, emotion, and images, which cannot be replaced by language alone. Startups capturing proprietary datasets face compute limitations, hindering their ability to unlock the full potential of AI. Balancing distribution and shipping velocity remains crucial for both incumbents and startups in the race to consumer AI dominance.

Software's Role in Rebuilding Scarcity and the Power of Aggregation Theory

As software continues to eat the world, scarcity takes on new forms in the era of abundance. While technology enables access to once-scarce resources, it also creates emergent scarcities that are challenging to predict. In this landscape, attention and loyalty become the new scarce resources, surpassing capital and production. Ben Thompson's aggregation theory highlights the shift from controlling supply to aggregating demand as the key to capturing profits in a post-internet world. Industries experience unbundling and rebuilding, with curation gaining prominence. From unbundling songs from CDs to rebundling them into personalized playlists, software's influence on various sectors is undeniable.

Emerging Scenarios: Education, Housing, Healthcare, and Beyond

Consumer AI's impact extends far beyond traditional realms. Education, housing, healthcare, and countless other sectors are poised for transformative change. Technology will play a pivotal role in increasing access, driving efficiency, and enhancing user experiences in these areas. The removal of barriers to communication, product discovery, and work completion in the digital realm underscores the significance of demand as the fundamental variable in a world of bits.

Actionable Advice for Businesses:

  • 1. Prioritize network effects: Focus on building engaged communities and leveraging proprietary data to engineer network effects that create a lasting moat.
  • 2. Embrace curation: Recognize the importance of curating content and experiences to cater to the evolving demands of consumers in an abundant world.
  • 3. Adapt and iterate swiftly: Whether an incumbent or a startup, balance distribution capabilities with shipping velocity to stay ahead in the consumer AI landscape.

Conclusion:

Consumer AI presents a world of opportunities and challenges, where network effects, scarcity, and emerging scenarios shape the competitive landscape. By understanding the power of AI and its implications on consumer behavior, businesses can navigate this landscape successfully. By embracing network effects, prioritizing curation, and maintaining agility, organizations can harness the true potential of consumer AI and secure their position at the forefront of innovation. The power truly lies in the hands of the consumer, and it is up to businesses to harness that power and shape the future.

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