"How To Know If You're Supply or Demand Constrained 🤹♂️ - Phase 2 of Kickstarting and Scaling a Marketplace Business"
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Aug 31, 2023
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"How To Know If You're Supply or Demand Constrained 🤹♂️ - Phase 2 of Kickstarting and Scaling a Marketplace Business"
"The History of Psychology: Understanding the Roots of the Field"
At some point, if enough pieces fall in place and the flywheel starts to whirl, you’ll begin to realize that maybe, just maybe, you’ve got a real working marketplace on your hands. Around this time, you will also begin to find that your early tactics and assumptions become increasingly less effective. Before we dive in — how do you know when it’s time to “scale”? It’s rarely a binary decision, but few signals to look for: You believe that you have PMF. A simple heuristic is that retention and growth are healthy in your early geo/category. You have a strong hypothesis for how to launch a new market or category. There is a strong competitive threat and you need to respond.
The importance of history in defining who we are cannot be overstated. Just as in the field of psychology, getting a history of the marketplace business helps to make sense of where we are and how we got here. In both cases, understanding the roots of the field can provide valuable insights into the current state of affairs.
Determining if you are supply or demand constrained is a crucial step in kickstarting and scaling a marketplace business. What does being supply-constrained or demand-constrained even mean? It simply means that your biggest constraint to driving additional transactions is a lack of supply (e.g. Airbnb Homes, Uber drivers) or a lack of demand (e.g. Rover dog owners, TaskRabbit customers). This parallel can be drawn to the early days of psychology, where philosophers and physiologists laid the groundwork for the field.
Precursors to American psychology can be found in philosophy and physiology. Philosophers such as John Locke (1632–1704) and Thomas Reid (1710–1796) promoted empiricism, the idea that all knowledge comes from experience. Just as marketplace businesses rely on real-world transactions and user experiences, psychology acknowledges the importance of experiential knowledge in understanding the mind and behavior.
Philosophical questions about the nature of mind and knowledge were matched in the 19th century by physiological investigations of the sensory systems of the human observer. This intersection of philosophy and physiology mirrors the intersection of supply and demand in the marketplace business. Understanding the nuances and dynamics of both sides is crucial for success.
An important implication of Helmholtz’s work in psychology was that there is a psychological reality and a physical reality and that the two are not identical. This notion aligns with the idea that marketplace businesses must navigate the reality of supply and demand, recognizing that they are distinct entities with their own complexities.
The question of the relationship between the mental (experiences of the senses) and the material (external reality) was investigated by a number of German researchers including Ernst Weber and Gustav Fechner. This exploration of the mind and its connection to the external world mirrors the marketplace business's need to understand the relationship between supply and demand, and how they interact to drive transactions.
The work of Wundt and his students demonstrated that the mind could be measured and the nature of consciousness could be revealed through scientific means. Experimental psychology, with its focus on empirical evidence, spread rather rapidly throughout North America. This parallels the need for marketplace businesses to rely on data and metrics to gauge the health of supply and demand.
By 1900, there were more than 40 psychology laboratories in the United States and Canada. Psychology in America also organized early with the establishment of the American Psychological Association (APA) in 1892. This growth and organization in the field of psychology signify the need for structure and collaboration in the marketplace business as well. As a marketplace begins to scale, it becomes crucial to have systems in place and collaborate with stakeholders to ensure sustained growth.
To successfully navigate the phase of kickstarting and scaling a marketplace business, it is essential to recognize whether you are supply or demand constrained. Understanding the historical roots of psychology can provide valuable insights into this distinction. Additionally, here are three actionable pieces of advice to consider:
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Continuously evaluate and monitor the health of both supply and demand. Regularly assess the balance between the two to identify any constraints that may be hindering growth.
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Develop strategies to address the constraints. If you are supply-constrained, focus on attracting and retaining suppliers. If you are demand-constrained, invest in marketing and user acquisition to drive customer demand.
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Foster a culture of experimentation and data-driven decision-making. Just as early psychologists relied on scientific methods to measure the mind, marketplace businesses should rely on data and metrics to drive strategic decisions and optimize supply and demand dynamics.
In conclusion, recognizing whether you are supply or demand constrained is a pivotal step in kickstarting and scaling a marketplace business. By drawing parallels to the historical development of psychology, we can gain valuable insights into the dynamics of supply and demand. By continuously evaluating and addressing constraints, as well as fostering a data-driven culture, marketplace businesses can position themselves for sustained growth and success.
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