Mark Erdmann's Hatch

Mark Erdmann
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Why a 2B Model Can Beat a 175B Model and Still Teach Us Almost Nothing
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Why a 2B Model Can Beat a 175B Model and Still Teach Us Almost Nothing

Hatched on Aug 5, 2026

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The Hidden Power of Sampling More Than Training
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The Hidden Power of Sampling More Than Training

Hatched on Aug 4, 2026

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The Map and the Mirror: Why Good Predictions Are Not the Same as Good World Models
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The Map and the Mirror: Why Good Predictions Are Not the Same as Good World Models

Hatched on Aug 3, 2026

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Why Benchmarks Are Teaching Us the Wrong Lesson About AI
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Why Benchmarks Are Teaching Us the Wrong Lesson About AI

Hatched on Aug 2, 2026

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Why the Best AI Reasoners Need Both Mathematics and Manipulation
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Why the Best AI Reasoners Need Both Mathematics and Manipulation

Hatched on Aug 1, 2026 · 1 views

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Why Progress Gets Mistaken for Breakthroughs
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Why Progress Gets Mistaken for Breakthroughs

Hatched on Jul 31, 2026 · 2 views

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Why Hallucinations Are a Shape Problem, Not Just a Truth Problem
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Why Hallucinations Are a Shape Problem, Not Just a Truth Problem

Hatched on Jul 30, 2026 · 1 views

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Why the Best AI Benchmarks Reward the Same Thing Great Solvers Do
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Why the Best AI Benchmarks Reward the Same Thing Great Solvers Do

Hatched on Jul 29, 2026 · 3 views

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The One Test You Need for Every New Technology
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The One Test You Need for Every New Technology

Hatched on Jul 28, 2026 · 2 views

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The Future of AI Is Not Bigger Models, It Is Better Paths Through the Same Intelligence
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The Future of AI Is Not Bigger Models, It Is Better Paths Through the Same Intelligence

Hatched on Jul 27, 2026 · 2 views

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Why the Fastest AI Teams Are Really Building Better Human Judgment
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Why the Fastest AI Teams Are Really Building Better Human Judgment

Hatched on Jul 26, 2026 · 2 views

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Why Context Is Not Memory: The Coming Split Between Reading and Reasoning
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Why Context Is Not Memory: The Coming Split Between Reading and Reasoning

Hatched on Jul 25, 2026 · 2 views

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When the Test Becomes the Product
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When the Test Becomes the Product

Hatched on Jul 24, 2026 · 4 views

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The Real Breakthrough Is Not Bigger Models, It Is Better Systems Around Small Ones
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The Real Breakthrough Is Not Bigger Models, It Is Better Systems Around Small Ones

Hatched on Jul 23, 2026 · 2 views

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The New Competitive Advantage Is Not Speed or AI, It Is Shared Momentum
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The New Competitive Advantage Is Not Speed or AI, It Is Shared Momentum

Hatched on Jul 22, 2026 · 3 views

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Why AI Gets Smarter When You Make It Repeat You
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Why AI Gets Smarter When You Make It Repeat You

Hatched on Jul 21, 2026 · 3 views

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Why Intuition Needs a Checker, and Beauty Needs a Search Space
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Why Intuition Needs a Checker, and Beauty Needs a Search Space

Hatched on Jul 20, 2026 · 2 views

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Why Superintelligence May Arrive Before We Know How to Define It
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Why Superintelligence May Arrive Before We Know How to Define It

Hatched on Jul 19, 2026 · 2 views

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Dreams and Documents Need the Same Missing Layer: Deliberate Attention
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Dreams and Documents Need the Same Missing Layer: Deliberate Attention

Hatched on Jul 18, 2026 · 3 views

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Why Benchmark Saturation Is Not the Same Thing as Intelligence
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Why Benchmark Saturation Is Not the Same Thing as Intelligence

Hatched on Jul 17, 2026 · 4 views

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When Machines Need Memory, They Also Need Doubt
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When Machines Need Memory, They Also Need Doubt

Hatched on Jul 16, 2026 · 2 views

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The Real AI Breakthrough Is Not Intelligence, It Is Measurability
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The Real AI Breakthrough Is Not Intelligence, It Is Measurability

Hatched on Jul 15, 2026 · 1 views

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From DNA to Documents: The New Problem Is Not Intelligence, It Is Compression
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From DNA to Documents: The New Problem Is Not Intelligence, It Is Compression

Hatched on Jul 14, 2026 · 4 views

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When Knowledge Stops Living in the Prompt and Starts Living in the Model
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When Knowledge Stops Living in the Prompt and Starts Living in the Model

Hatched on Jul 13, 2026 · 1 views

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Why Benchmarks Stop Working the Moment They Start Winning
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Why Benchmarks Stop Working the Moment They Start Winning

Hatched on Jul 12, 2026 · 3 views

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The Fastest Teams Build Their Own Critic
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The Fastest Teams Build Their Own Critic

Hatched on Jul 11, 2026 · 2 views

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When Benchmarks Stop Measuring Intelligence and Start Measuring Feedback
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When Benchmarks Stop Measuring Intelligence and Start Measuring Feedback

Hatched on Jul 10, 2026 · 3 views

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Why Speed Is Not the Same as Intelligence
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Why Speed Is Not the Same as Intelligence

Hatched on Jul 9, 2026 · 3 views

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The Quiet Revolution: Why AI Becomes Trustworthy Only When It Learns to Read Your Systems
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The Quiet Revolution: Why AI Becomes Trustworthy Only When It Learns to Read Your Systems

Hatched on Jul 8, 2026 · 3 views

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The Coming Age of Ambient Intelligence: When AI Sees and Remembers for You
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The Coming Age of Ambient Intelligence: When AI Sees and Remembers for You

Hatched on Jul 7, 2026 · 3 views

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When Models Learn More Than They Can Say: The Hidden Gap Between Skill and Truth
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When Models Learn More Than They Can Say: The Hidden Gap Between Skill and Truth

Hatched on Jul 6, 2026 · 3 views

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Why Good Prompts Fail When Tasks Become Real
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Why Good Prompts Fail When Tasks Become Real

Hatched on Jul 5, 2026 · 2 views

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The Same Model That Writes Your Code Can Also Expose Your Identity
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The Same Model That Writes Your Code Can Also Expose Your Identity

Hatched on Jul 4, 2026 · 2 views

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Why the Smartest AI Systems Start by Getting Smaller
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Why the Smartest AI Systems Start by Getting Smaller

Hatched on Jul 3, 2026 · 2 views

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Why the Best AI Workflows Hide the Reasoning, Then Reveal It
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Why the Best AI Workflows Hide the Reasoning, Then Reveal It

Hatched on Jul 2, 2026 · 3 views

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When a Model Knows More Than Its Answers Can Prove
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When a Model Knows More Than Its Answers Can Prove

Hatched on Jul 1, 2026 · 13 views

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When a Model Must Know It Is Guessing
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When a Model Must Know It Is Guessing

Hatched on Jun 30, 2026 · 3 views

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Why Models Can Be Brilliant at the Next Word and Still Fail at the Next Step
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Why Models Can Be Brilliant at the Next Word and Still Fail at the Next Step

Hatched on Jun 29, 2026 · 2 views

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Why LLMs Fail at the Edges: Tokenization, Coordination, and the Case for Fewer Hidden Layers
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Why LLMs Fail at the Edges: Tokenization, Coordination, and the Case for Fewer Hidden Layers

Hatched on Jun 28, 2026 · 3 views

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The Strange New Privacy of Personality
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The Strange New Privacy of Personality

Hatched on Jun 27, 2026 · 2 views

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The Coming Shift From Tools You Use to Workspaces That Think With You
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The Coming Shift From Tools You Use to Workspaces That Think With You

Hatched on Jun 26, 2026 · 4 views

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Why the Next Great AI Breakthrough Is Not Better Chatting, But Better Ground Truth
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Why the Next Great AI Breakthrough Is Not Better Chatting, But Better Ground Truth

Hatched on Jun 25, 2026 · 1 views

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Why Great Organizations Run on Judgment, Not Hierarchy
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Why Great Organizations Run on Judgment, Not Hierarchy

Hatched on Jun 24, 2026 · 1 views

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Why Fast Intuition Beats Slow Reasoning Only When Search Can Check It
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Why Fast Intuition Beats Slow Reasoning Only When Search Can Check It

Hatched on Jun 22, 2026 · 2 views

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Why the Future of AI Belongs to the Machines That Can Fail in the Real World
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Why the Future of AI Belongs to the Machines That Can Fail in the Real World

Hatched on Jun 21, 2026 · 2 views

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Your Life Is Part Personality, Part Machine: Why Satisfaction and Scraping Belong Together
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Your Life Is Part Personality, Part Machine: Why Satisfaction and Scraping Belong Together

Hatched on Jun 20, 2026 · 2 views

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When a Tiny Interface Becomes the Whole Intelligence Problem
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When a Tiny Interface Becomes the Whole Intelligence Problem

Hatched on Jun 19, 2026 · 3 views

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Why the Best Expert Is Not a Model, but a Memory Palace
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Why the Best Expert Is Not a Model, but a Memory Palace

Hatched on Jun 18, 2026 · 2 views

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Superintelligence May Not Be a Brain, but a Search Process That Learned Enough
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Superintelligence May Not Be a Brain, but a Search Process That Learned Enough

Hatched on Jun 17, 2026 · 3 views

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The Hidden Common Thread Between Good Managers and Great AI Is Not Intelligence, It Is Scaffolding
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The Hidden Common Thread Between Good Managers and Great AI Is Not Intelligence, It Is Scaffolding

Hatched on Jun 16, 2026 · 1 views

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Why the Best AI Outputs Now Come from Argument, Not Prompting
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Why the Best AI Outputs Now Come from Argument, Not Prompting

Hatched on Jun 15, 2026 · 1 views

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When Math Stops Being a Single Step and Starts Becoming a Conversation
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When Math Stops Being a Single Step and Starts Becoming a Conversation

Hatched on Jun 14, 2026 · 1 views

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The Real Bottleneck in AI Is Not Intelligence, It Is Structure
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The Real Bottleneck in AI Is Not Intelligence, It Is Structure

Hatched on Jun 13, 2026 · 2 views

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The Coming Age of Verifiable Intelligence
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The Coming Age of Verifiable Intelligence

Hatched on Jun 12, 2026 · 3 views

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Why Beautiful Models Can Still Be Wrong
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Why Beautiful Models Can Still Be Wrong

Hatched on Jun 11, 2026 · 3 views

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When Memory Learns to Fit in Your Pocket
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When Memory Learns to Fit in Your Pocket

Hatched on Jun 10, 2026 · 1 views

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The New Interface Is Not a Chat Window, It Is a Competence Layer
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The New Interface Is Not a Chat Window, It Is a Competence Layer

Hatched on Jun 9, 2026 · 3 views

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The Real Breakthrough in AI Is Not Memory, It Is Delegation
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The Real Breakthrough in AI Is Not Memory, It Is Delegation

Hatched on Jun 8, 2026 · 5 views

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The Great AI Split: When Intelligence Moves Into Your Pocket, Value Moves Into the Cloud
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The Great AI Split: When Intelligence Moves Into Your Pocket, Value Moves Into the Cloud

Hatched on Jun 7, 2026 · 2 views

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The New Bottleneck Is Not Information, It Is Access and Shared Context
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The New Bottleneck Is Not Information, It Is Access and Shared Context

Hatched on Jun 6, 2026 · 2 views

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