The Power of Evolution: Unifying Growth, Concentration, and Observation
Hatched by vincent
Jan 13, 2024
7 min read
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The Power of Evolution: Unifying Growth, Concentration, and Observation
In today's rapidly evolving world, businesses face varying growth rates and levels of competition. These differences in growth and competition lead to different strategic approaches. The concept of "difficulty" is inversely related to "ease." It represents the varying degrees of effort and complexity in different situations.
The Chinese consumer market is a prime example of this dichotomy. On one hand, there is a growing trend of "consumption downgrading," where consumers prioritize lower prices. On the other hand, there is a simultaneous trend of "consumption upgrading," where consumers are willing to pay higher prices for premium products.
As businesses navigate these complexities, they must consider several factors: converging growth, an aging population, the emergence of new technologies, the rise of service industries, and the acceleration of international expansion. To capture the attention of price-sensitive consumers, it is essential to offer the cheapest products to those who value affordability the most, such as the elderly population.
Xing Yunfei, a prominent figure in the industry, suggests that solving social issues, such as the "price problem" for the elderly, can lead to substantial growth. However, as a company's size increases, the marginal returns diminish, resulting in slower growth. This phenomenon is known as "growth convergence."
During the "high-speed phase," opportunities are rewarded by the era, while in the "medium-speed phase," competitiveness is the key. To excel in this phase, businesses must focus on cost leadership, differentiation, and concentration. However, the most commendable aspect is not being low-key, but rather being thrifty. The retail industry's competitiveness stems from offering low prices, which can only be achieved through low costs.
Reducing the variety of products offered is an effective strategy. Remember, the purpose of business is not solely to enable the affluent to possess more luxury goods, but also to make it possible for the working class to afford the products they produce. Sometimes, the most profitable ventures involve helping ordinary people save money.
Differentiation is about providing scarce value with barriers to entry. Cost leadership, differentiation, and focus are the pillars of success in the medium-speed phase. Adapting to adversity is a hallmark of excellence. The concept of the "dependency ratio" signifies the economic pressure of supporting multiple individuals per working individual. It serves as an indicator of the economic burden.
To thrive in challenging times, one must adopt a resilient mindset. When the market begins to shrink, industries consolidate. The decline in the labor force prompts changes in governance, management techniques, and business models. The inevitable trend is the collaboration between humans and machines.
Contrary to popular belief, the elderly population is not a market with low purchasing power. Instead, it represents a unique and differentiated market with distinct demands. Understanding the underlying clues and recognizing the interplay between extinction and emergence, decline and growth, is crucial.
Emotional value, as explained by Cai Yu, is the value that users are willing to pay to experience specific emotions and feelings. Providing therapeutic value, companionship value, and superior value are essential in catering to the needs of adults. Functionality and emotional appeal are both critical aspects of a product's success. The radiance of your success is, in fact, the radiance of maternal instinct, which motivates people to go to great lengths for their pets. This emotional value, known as "superiority," stems from the feeling of exclusivity.
Alfred Adler once said that the ultimate goal of individuals is to pursue superiority. By offering products that make users feel "different from others," companies can tap into this desire for uniqueness. Trends, at their core, represent the younger generation's way of showing the world that they are different. Yu Lidan, an expert in this field, emphasizes the importance of identifying and serving this group of users who seek a sense of superiority.
Life has never been easy, but can we not find ways to bring happiness into our lives? Artificial intelligence is infiltrating the business world from various angles, making it unfamiliar. The phenomenon of intelligence emerging from local interactions to create a global phenomenon is known as "emergence." When artificial intelligence enters the business world, its fundamental logic revolves around increasing productivity by accomplishing more with fewer people.
Humans have fallen prey to four major lies: high-priced fertility treatments, lucrative business rentals, overpriced buybacks, and early morning wake-up calls. In fact, more than half of the GDP generated last year came from the service sector. In this sense, the service industry has become China's largest sector.
The future of the service industry lies not in undertaking tasks that others do not want to do but in undertaking tasks that others cannot do. Another opportunity lies in the integration of the tertiary sector. Among these sectors, the industrial sector contributes the most to productivity and is the most powerful.
The service industry serves as the largest employment sector. Food security is of utmost importance in human society. The direction of global development is not simply globalization but resetting existing global connections. Throughout history, there have been three waves of globalization.
The first wave, which began with the Industrial Revolution and was propelled by colonialism, reached its peak before being interrupted by World War II. The second wave commenced after the war, with the reconstruction of the world order. The establishment of the United Nations, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the Bretton Woods system gradually solidified the globalization process, which reached a level of 37.39%. However, it was disrupted by the oil crisis, inflation, and the collapse of the Bretton Woods system.
After a brief period of turbulence, the third wave of globalization emerged. Alongside technological advancements such as the Internet and the implementation of trade liberalization policies like those introduced by the World Trade Organization, multinational corporations and global supply chains flourished. China grew into a significant force in the global economy, and globalization reached an unprecedented level of 60.74%. However, the global financial crisis of 2008 plunged the world into turmoil once again.
Development, turbulence, development, turbulence... this cycle repeats itself. From a century-long perspective, globalization may be influenced or reset by unforeseen factors, but ultimately, it will turn around and move forward. As long as we have something that others need, there will always be "trade" and "globalization."
The fastest-growing travel orders this year have been to Central and South America, Africa, and the Middle East. It seems that our globalization efforts are moving further afield. On Alibaba's international platform, the three regions experiencing the most significant growth in cross-border trade are the Middle East, Central and South America, and Africa.
The achievements of an individual are no greater than their dreams, and one's dreams are no greater than what they have seen and experienced. Beyond our line of sight, a new wave of growth is brewing. Going global does not necessarily mean focusing solely on luxury goods; technological advancements can also be exported.
As Li Tiezheng suggests, going global involves using technology as a sail and adapting to local practices. Professor Xu Qiyu of the National Strategic Research Institute at Tsinghua University once said, "We often have high short-term expectations but low long-term expectations." Let us use technological innovation to delve deeper and broaden our horizons.
The fourth wave of globalization is slowly restarting. Open the door and venture out, even if the world beyond is tumultuous. I wish you success in navigating against the wind and seizing opportunities. Whether it is a tailwind, a crosswind, or a headwind, as long as you have the desire to move forward, you will make progress. The wind may blow fiercely, but it cannot deter your determination. Human civilization is an enduring journey of exploration.
Some choose to stay put while our ancestors chose to venture out. Human civilization is a journey that has spanned thousands of years. The farther and more determined one is to take risks, the further one will go. These explorers, fighters, and hard workers, after journeying through the fog, entered a completely new world.
Success in this endeavor depends on three critical competitions: strategic planning, funding, and organization. You must participate in three "ecological niche competitions." In terms of strategy, large companies often have the upper hand due to their intuition. We can only increase the probability of success by utilizing all means available to us.
When it comes to funding, luck plays a significant role. In this aspect, large companies often have the advantage. However, there are always individuals within smaller companies who make the right decisions, resulting in overall success. Chaos and vibrancy triumph over rigid and stagnant systems.
For small companies, the key to success lies in strategic planning. By relying on intuition and luck, one cannot improve their chances of success. Climbing a mountain is not about conquering the mountain itself; it is about conquering oneself. There is no mountain higher than the human spirit.
It is crucial to remember that success is not about conquering the high mountains or adversity. Instead, it is about conquering oneself. Rather than conquering the mountain, we should strive to conquer ourselves. Give the mountain one meter of space. What we truly need to conquer is ourselves since there is no mountain higher than the human spirit.
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