The Science Behind Popularity: Familiarity, Distribution, and Organization

Kazuki Nakayashiki

Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki

Sep 25, 2023

4 min read

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The Science Behind Popularity: Familiarity, Distribution, and Organization

In an age of constant distractions and information overload, understanding what makes something popular has become a fascinating subject of study. Derek Thompson, in his book "Hit Makers: The Science of Popularity in an Age of Distraction," explores the factors that contribute to the success of various forms of content, be it music, movies, or ideas. Through his research, Thompson highlights the importance of familiarity over novelty and distribution over content quality.

One of the key insights presented in Thompson's book is the power of familiarity in popularizing a piece of content. People are drawn to new products that remind them of old ones. This phenomenon explains why we often find ourselves loving new songs with old chord structures or new movies that are sequels, adaptations, or reboots. Our brains have a natural affinity for the familiar, and this familiarity plays a significant role in the spread of information.

When studying the spread of popular content, researchers have found that it primarily occurs through broadcast mechanisms rather than social mechanisms. In other words, it's not about a million one-to-one interactions but rather a handful of one-to-one-million moments. This emphasizes the importance of the distribution strategy and the channels through which content reaches its audience. The sources that these pieces of information hit are more crucial than the qualities of the content itself.

While familiarity is a potent factor in popularity, it is not enough on its own. Emotionality also plays a crucial role. Thompson mentions that repetition is the "god particle" of music. It is the element that distinguishes ordinary sounds from what our brains perceive as music. Our brain's affinity for repetition and variety in a specific sequence makes certain songs more appealing and memorable. This concept can also be applied to other forms of content, where patterns, rhymes, and musicality enhance their persuasive power.

Another intriguing aspect that Thompson delves into is the role of identity in popularizing content. People crave identities and seek to differentiate themselves from others. This antagonistic nature of identity drives our preferences and influences what we find appealing. Thompson introduces the concept of MAYA (Most Advanced Yet Acceptable), which suggests that to sell something surprising, it should be made familiar. On the other hand, to sell something familiar, it should be made surprising. This delicate balance between familiarity and novelty captures people's attention and resonates with their desire for identity.

Interestingly, the sensitive period for music taste seems to be between the teenage years and the early to mid-20s. Spotify data suggests that by the age of 33, people tend to stop listening to new songs entirely. This finding raises questions about the crystallization of our tastes as we age. Similarly, Thompson points out that the sensitive period for political beliefs aligns with the teenage years and extends into the late 20s. There seems to be a parallel between our evolving musical preferences and our political ideologies during this time.

In terms of organizing content, the LATCH system provides a valuable framework. LATCH stands for Location, Alphabet, Time, Category, and Hierarchy, and it suggests that nearly all organizational schemes for data can be reduced to these five basic dimensions. Recognizing the limited choices for organizing information makes the process less overwhelming. The choice of which dimension to prioritize depends on what you want to study or convey about the industry or topic at hand.

In conclusion, understanding the science behind popularity requires a deep dive into the factors that shape our preferences and influence our choices. Familiarity, distribution, emotionality, identity, and organization all play significant roles in determining what becomes popular. To leverage these insights, here are three actionable pieces of advice:

  1. Incorporate elements of familiarity and repetition in your content to make it more appealing and memorable to your audience.
  2. Pay attention to the distribution strategy and channels through which your content reaches its intended audience. Focus on a handful of one-to-one-million moments rather than a million one-to-one interactions.
  3. Consider the role of identity in your content and find ways to make it surprising yet relatable, tapping into people's desire for differentiation and uniqueness.

By incorporating these strategies, you can increase the chances of your content resonating with a wide audience and potentially achieving popularity and success in an age of distraction.

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