My Framework for Evaluating Early-Stage Consumer Companies: Four Questions Towards Understanding User Adoption of Your Product

Kazuki Nakayashiki

Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki

Aug 13, 2023

4 min read

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My Framework for Evaluating Early-Stage Consumer Companies: Four Questions Towards Understanding User Adoption of Your Product

As an early-stage consumer investor, one of the most important factors I consider when evaluating companies is their defensibility. I want to know why people are drawn to a particular product or platform, why they choose to stay, why they share it with others, and ultimately, why they are willing to pay for it. These questions help me understand the underlying factors that contribute to user adoption and loyalty.

In consumer businesses, two key metrics that I look for are frequency and time spent. How often are users engaging with the product, and how much time are they dedicating to it? These metrics provide valuable insights into the features or actions that are generating the most user engagement. Additionally, I investigate the concept of virality, which refers to the spread of a product from one user to another through direct customer-to-customer contact. Is the product being shared organically through social media or word of mouth? This can greatly contribute to its growth and success.

Another crucial aspect to consider is the potential for economics to change over time. What drives the differentiation of the product? Is it the price, the quality, the service, or the brand? And most importantly, is this differentiation sustainable and defensible in the long run? These questions help me assess the company's competitive advantage and its ability to withstand potential disruptions in the market.

To gain a deeper understanding of user adoption, I also rely on a set of four questions that I believe can provide valuable insights. These questions focus on the reasons why users initially sign up for a product, what aspects of the product did not meet their expectations, why they decided to give the product another try, and what ultimately convinced them to become active users. By analyzing the patterns in the stories of users who have successfully adopted the product, I can identify the key factors that contributed to their conversion and continued engagement.

It is crucial to ignore benchmarks and instead focus on the unique experiences of users who have embraced the product. By understanding what converted them and got them excited to use the product consistently, companies can revise their messaging and user experience to attract more of these core users. In the early stages, it's important to build a strong base of core users who deeply engage with the product. As the user base grows, companies can then work on increasing averages and expanding their reach.

One effective strategy that I like to employ is looking for bouncebacks. These are users who initially tried the product, found it unhelpful, but later decided to give it another chance and became hooked. By asking them the four questions mentioned earlier, companies can gain valuable insights into what prompted their initial interest, what fell short upon first experience, what motivated them to give the product a second try, and what ultimately led to their increased frequency of use.

Using this approach, companies can revamp their messaging and onboarding processes to focus on the aspects that brought users back and got them engaged. For example, Twitter experienced significant increases in user activation after revamping their onboarding process to emphasize finding and following the right people, rather than solely focusing on tweeting and broadcasting. This highlights the importance of adapting the product and messaging to align with the needs and desires of the users.

In conclusion, when evaluating early-stage consumer companies, it is crucial to assess their defensibility, understand the factors driving user adoption and engagement, and identify the patterns and insights from successful user stories. By focusing on attracting and retaining core users, companies can build a strong foundation for growth and success. Here are three actionable pieces of advice:

  1. Understand your precise customer and their wants: Invest time in understanding your target audience and their motivations. Tailor your product and messaging to address their specific needs and desires.

  2. Analyze user bouncebacks: Pay attention to users who initially bounced back but later became engaged with the product. Learn from their experiences to identify areas of improvement and revise your onboarding and messaging accordingly.

  3. Focus on core users: In the early stages, prioritize attracting and retaining core users who deeply engage with your product. Build a strong base of loyal users before expanding your reach.

By following these strategies and incorporating user feedback, companies can create a product that not only meets the needs of their target audience but also fosters long-term user adoption and loyalty.

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