The Importance of Moats: When to Dig and Why

Kazuki Nakayashiki

Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki

Aug 31, 2023

4 min read

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The Importance of Moats: When to Dig and Why

In the business world, companies that have the best products, most talented people, and fastest growth are precisely the ones for which moats are most important. Moats, in this context, refer to the barriers that protect a business' margins from the erosive forces of competition. They serve as a means of maintaining a competitive advantage and ensuring long-term success. In his book "7 Powers," Hamilton Helmer identifies seven types of moats: Economies of Scale, Network Effects, Counter-Positioning, Switching Costs, Brand, Cornered Resource, and Process Power.

However, it is important to note that moats alone do not guarantee success. Before worrying about building moats, a startup must first achieve Product-Market Fit (PMF). As Fred Wilson of USV wrote, "Product > Strategy > Business Model." Moats come into play once the initial uncertainty surrounding a startup's success begins to dissipate. Startups must have the foundations of more permanent moats in place to protect their margins and ensure continued growth.

The need for moats is directly related to the level of certainty surrounding a startup's idea and its ease of execution. Jerry Neumann, in his article "Productive Uncertainty," explains that uncertainty is the only moat that can create excess value for a new startup. It keeps competition at bay long enough for a moat to be built. If an idea is obvious and easy to execute, then moats must be established quickly. On the other hand, if an idea is novel and complex, startups have more time to dig their moats.

Novelty Uncertainty and Complexity Uncertainty are two types of uncertainty that affect the depth of moat needed. Novelty Uncertainty refers to the uncertainty faced by deeptech companies, questioning whether they can actually build what they intend to. Complexity Uncertainty assumes that the product can be built but raises concerns about the market's size and profitability. The greater the certainty surrounding an idea and the easier it is to execute, the more urgent the need for moats.

Netflix's Failed Social Strategy: Lessons to Learn

Netflix's failed social strategy offers valuable insights into the challenges companies face when trying to invent the future. Despite the initial promise and potential of social integration, Netflix's foray into social failed to gain traction. The company failed to recognize early on that it would never be big enough to make a significant impact.

One of the reasons for Netflix's frequent failures is the biases that cloud human judgment. It is challenging to quit when the CEO is passionate about an idea. In Netflix's case, they believed that the failure was due to execution rather than the idea itself. Small successes can also make it difficult to kill features, as companies become attached to their projects. Passion and hope can cloud judgment, making it essential to establish clear objectives and guard against youthful enthusiasm.

Successful projects often develop momentum quickly, with customers embracing good ideas despite their initial shortcomings. However, it is crucial to take a step back and evaluate the merits of a project objectively. This requires discounting executive-level support and conventional wisdom. Companies should temper their pride in ownership and ask themselves, "What should we invest in today, regardless of past investment decisions?" By setting clear, objective goals and reassessing projects, companies can ensure that they are investing their resources wisely.

Actionable Advice:

  1. Identify and prioritize your moats: Evaluate your business and determine which moats are most relevant and effective in protecting your margins. Focus on building and strengthening these moats to maintain a competitive advantage.

  2. Embrace uncertainty: Recognize that uncertainty is a valuable asset for startups. It keeps competition at bay and provides the opportunity to build moats. Don't shy away from tackling complex or novel ideas that have the potential for significant long-term impact.

  3. Stay objective and evaluate projects regularly: Set clear objectives and regularly reassess the merits of ongoing projects. Guard against biases and attachments to ideas. Be willing to pivot or abandon projects that are not meeting their objectives or showing potential for success.

In conclusion, moats are vital for the long-term success of companies, particularly those experiencing rapid growth and success. Startups must focus on building moats once they have achieved Product-Market Fit. The level of certainty and ease of execution surrounding an idea determines the urgency and depth of moats needed. Additionally, companies can learn from Netflix's failed social strategy by remaining objective, setting clear objectives, and evaluating projects regularly. By incorporating these lessons and taking actionable steps, companies can position themselves for success in a competitive business landscape.

Sources

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