Investing for the Long Term: A Guide to Finding Product/Market Fit

Kazuki Nakayashiki

Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki

Aug 29, 2023

3 min read

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Investing for the Long Term: A Guide to Finding Product/Market Fit

In the world of entrepreneurship and product development, the key to success lies not just in having a great idea, but in choosing the right idea and staying committed to it for the long term. At Morin Capital's Syndicate, our goal is to serve entrepreneurs by helping them navigate this journey, building close and personal relationships along the way. Our approach is centered around bringing together ideas, focus, capital, technology, creativity, design, philosophy, relationships, authenticity, love, and a dash of optimism to build lasting companies.

One of the crucial aspects of building a successful product is finding product/market fit. This term refers to the point at which a product satisfies its target market and enables sustained growth. It's important for product people to focus on growth and connecting users to the value of the product, once they have confirmed that the product is delivering value.

It's important to understand that customers are never fully satisfied. Their expectations are constantly evolving, and as humans, we have a natural inclination towards seeking a better way. This means that product/market fit is not achieved when customers stop complaining or reach a state of complete satisfaction. Instead, it is when they stop leaving and continue to use the product despite minor complaints.

Measuring retention is a key signal of product/market fit. However, it's not enough for customers to simply stick around. The rate of retention and month-over-month growth in new customers are also important factors to consider. To measure true product/market fit, a flattened retention curve of the key action at the designated frequency, along with sustainable growth in new customers, is the best indicator.

When it comes to the process of finding product/market fit, there are two main schools of thought. The Eric Ries model emphasizes talking to customers early and often to understand their pain points and build something valuable. On the other hand, the Keith Rabois model is driven by the founders' vision, where customer feedback is less important than building what the founders envision.

Both models have their merits and can be effective depending on the product being built. The Ries model is commonly used in enterprise businesses, where founders have confidence in solving day-to-day problems and creating a reliable business model. The Rabois model, on the other hand, is more common in hardware and consumer models, where founders have a strong vision and need to convince a broad market to try something new.

In my personal belief, a combination of a strong vision and market feedback is a powerful approach to finding product/market fit. While other factors may vary depending on the specific product, if the retention curves flatten every month and new user numbers increase at a healthy payback period, it's a strong indication that product/market fit has been achieved.

In conclusion, investing in the long term and finding product/market fit are crucial elements of building successful companies. By staying committed to an idea, building strong relationships, and combining a strong vision with market feedback, entrepreneurs can increase their chances of achieving sustainable growth. Here are three actionable pieces of advice to keep in mind:

  1. Continuously engage with customers and gather feedback to understand their pain points and build something valuable.
  2. Stay true to your vision and strive to achieve the initial vision that sparked the creation of the product.
  3. Measure retention and sustainable growth to gauge true product/market fit.

By following these principles, entrepreneurs can navigate the complex world of product development with confidence and increase their chances of building lasting and successful companies.

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