The Right Way To Set Goals for Growth: The Forgetting Curve and Beyond
Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki
Sep 12, 2023
3 min read
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The Right Way To Set Goals for Growth: The Forgetting Curve and Beyond
Setting goals is an integral part of any growth strategy. However, it is essential to approach goal-setting in the right way to ensure long-term success. One of the best approaches to set goals for growth is to focus on absolute numbers, such as the number of active users and the decrease in churned users. These metrics are the true indicators of growth and should be prioritized over other factors.
Teams should take credit for what they actively contribute to growth, rather than relying on natural fluctuations. For example, if a team focuses on growing traffic to a lower converting country like Germany, away from a higher converting country like the U.S., they may hit traffic goals but not signup goals. It is crucial to align goals with the desired outcomes and choose metrics that directly reflect growth.
When it comes to measuring growth, the activation rate is a key metric to consider. It is calculated by dividing the number of activated users by the total number of users. To move this metric in the desired direction, there are two approaches: changing the number of activated users or changing the total number of users. Both strategies can be effective, but it is essential to analyze which approach aligns better with the overall growth goals.
While setting goals is crucial, it is equally important to understand how our brains process and retain new knowledge. The forgetting curve, a concept introduced by Hermann Ebbinghaus, suggests that we tend to forget new information rapidly unless we make a conscious effort to review and reinforce it. According to Ebbinghaus, our memory of new knowledge can halve within a matter of days or weeks if not reinforced.
To combat this forgetting curve, Ebbinghaus proposed the use of mnemonic techniques. These techniques are structured strategies that aid in memorization and recall. By employing mnemonic techniques, we can enhance our memory representation and improve our ability to remember important information.
Furthermore, Ebbinghaus found that repetition based on active recall, along with spaced repetition, was highly effective in reducing forgetting rates. Active recall refers to actively retrieving information from memory rather than passively reviewing it. Spaced repetition involves reviewing information at gradually increasing intervals, allowing for better retention and long-term memory formation.
Moreover, Ebbinghaus coined the term "overlearning," which refers to reviewing newly acquired knowledge beyond the point of mastery. Overlearning ensures that information can be recalled with perfect accuracy. By consistently reviewing and reinforcing information, we can solidify our understanding and ensure long-term retention.
Incorporating these insights into our goal-setting process can greatly enhance our chances of achieving sustainable growth. Here are three actionable pieces of advice to consider:
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Focus on absolute goals: Set goals that directly reflect growth, such as the number of active users and the decrease in churned users. These metrics provide a clear indication of progress and success.
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Implement mnemonic techniques: Utilize structured strategies like mnemonics to enhance memorization and recall. By actively engaging with new information and employing mnemonic devices, we can improve our ability to retain important knowledge.
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Embrace active recall and spaced repetition: Instead of passively reviewing information, actively retrieve it from memory. Additionally, incorporate spaced repetition into your learning routine to reinforce knowledge at increasing intervals. This approach will help combat the forgetting curve and solidify long-term retention.
In conclusion, setting goals for growth requires a strategic approach that focuses on absolute numbers and aligns with the desired outcomes. Additionally, understanding the science of memory retention, such as the forgetting curve and mnemonic techniques, can greatly enhance our ability to retain and recall important information. By incorporating these insights and following actionable advice, we can set ourselves up for long-term growth and success.
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