The Death of the Newsfeed: Understanding the Tragedy of Overload

Kazuki Nakayashiki

Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki

Aug 21, 2023

4 min read

0

The Death of the Newsfeed: Understanding the Tragedy of Overload

In the era of social media, our lives have become intertwined with endless streams of information, updates, and posts. We scroll through our newsfeeds, consuming a never-ending supply of content. But have you ever stopped to consider the implications of this constant influx of information? In this article, we will explore the concept of Dunbar's number, Zuckerberg's law, the tragedy of the commons, and the challenges faced by social media platforms like Facebook.

Dunbar's number is a rule of thumb that suggests we can only maintain meaningful relationships with a limited number of people. It implies that we probably know several hundred people well enough to friend them on Facebook. However, when combined with Zuckerberg's law, which suggests that we share more and more on social media over time, we encounter overload. The asymmetry of the newsfeed makes frequent posting normal instead of rude. Since we are posting to 'our' feed instead of sending content explicitly to someone, it seems acceptable to post frequently and share less important things.

This phenomenon leads us to the tragedy of the commons. We are expected to contribute to the newsfeed by posting and sharing content, but in doing so, we overload each other's feeds. People's desires change, and they quickly grow bored of things. As a result, Facebook constantly adjusts its algorithm to try to reflect these changing preferences. In contrast, Google shows us precisely what we have explicitly searched for, successfully catering to our individual needs, even if it may not align with what we 'should' be searching for.

The challenge for Facebook lies in determining what content it 'shouldn't' show us, even if it has been shared by someone we know. Who should decide what we see, and how should the weighting of content be determined? If the newsfeed is solely focused on what we want to see, it cannot adequately consider what our friends want or need us to see. This constant shift between different expressions of content consumption may indicate that we are swinging away from the traditional newsfeed concept.

Now, let's shift our focus to what we can learn from users. As startups, it is crucial to pay attention to our users and understand their needs. Through interactions with users, we can gain valuable insights that shape our products and services. Surprisingly, most startups face similar problems, regardless of their industry. While the specific problems may differ, the underlying challenges remain consistent.

One significant revelation is how founders can be unaware of their own problems. They may come seeking advice for one issue, only to discover a much larger problem during the conversation. Founders often know their problems but struggle to determine their relative importance. However, one of the most surprising aspects is how frequently founders fail to listen to advice. This lack of listening can be attributed to the counterintuitive nature of startup challenges. When something counterintuitive is shared, it often sounds wrong to the recipient. Founders may not fully believe or understand the advice until they gain firsthand experience.

In the realm of startups, focus is of utmost importance, especially in the early stages. With a multitude of problems and limited resources, founders must prioritize and address the most critical issues. This is where programs like Y Combinator (YC) come into play. YC helps founders identify the most pressing challenges, develop ideas for solving them, and take measurable action within a short timeframe. The focus is on achieving tangible results quickly, as speed defines startups. YC acts as a catalyst for improved focus, enabling founders to make progress efficiently.

YC offers more than just experienced founders passing on their knowledge. It fosters a sense of community and camaraderie among founders. Colleagues become invaluable sources of support, advice, and inspiration. YC founders are encouraged to build products they themselves would want, creating a community of like-minded individuals. The presence of great colleagues cannot be commoditized, as they tend to cluster in specific locations, leaving other areas lacking in such resources.

In conclusion, the death of the newsfeed highlights the challenges of overload and the tragedy of the commons. Social media platforms must grapple with determining what content to show users amidst changing preferences and desires. Simultaneously, startups must pay close attention to their users and prioritize the most significant challenges. Founders should embrace advice, even if it initially seems counterintuitive, and seek out a supportive community of colleagues who can provide guidance and inspiration. By incorporating these lessons, both social media platforms and startups can navigate the ever-evolving landscape of information consumption and creation.

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