"A Few Stories About Big Decisions" and "Human behavior is 93 percent predictable, research shows"

Kazuki Nakayashiki

Hatched by Kazuki Nakayashiki

Sep 19, 2023

3 min read

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"A Few Stories About Big Decisions" and "Human behavior is 93 percent predictable, research shows"

In life, we are constantly faced with making decisions - some small and insignificant, while others have the power to shape our future. Whether it's deciding on a career path, turning down a lucrative offer, or even building a race car, the choices we make can have profound consequences. Interestingly, there are common threads that connect these seemingly disparate stories of decision-making.

Henry Ford, the visionary behind the Ford Motor Company, understood the power of perception. In order to win over investors and the public, he knew he needed to build a reputation. Despite having no interest in race cars, he decided to build the best race car in the world. In 1902, his car beat the reigning champion, bringing him nationwide recognition and the advertising he needed. Ford's story teaches us that sometimes, in order to achieve our goals, we must prioritize what others think of us.

Similarly, actress Gloria Swanson turned down a million-dollar movie contract in 1927. While it may have seemed like a foolish decision, Swanson understood the importance of being unique. She famously said, "Don't try to be the best. Be the only." By refusing to conform to the expectations of Hollywood, Swanson carved out her own path and became a legend in the industry. Her story reminds us that sometimes, it's better to stand out from the crowd than to blend in.

In the realm of leadership, General George Marshall understood the inherent need for entertainment. He believed that a leader in a democracy must keep the people engaged and entertained. While this may seem trivial, Marshall recognized that in order to gain the support of the masses, a leader must capture their attention. This insight is especially relevant in today's world, where charisma and the ability to captivate an audience are highly valued in the realm of politics and business.

Moving away from stories of individuals, recent research conducted by Northeastern University network scientists has shed light on the predictability of human behavior. According to their findings, human behavior is 93 percent predictable. The study focused on the mobility patterns of anonymous cell-phone users and found that despite differences in travel patterns, most people follow a simple and predictable pattern. Whether they travel far distances or stay close to home, individuals tend to return to locations they have visited before. This predictability holds true across demographics, challenging traditional notions of individuality and spontaneity.

So, what can we take away from these stories and research? Here are three actionable pieces of advice:

  1. Prioritize perception: Like Henry Ford, be mindful of how you are perceived by others. Building a positive image can open doors and provide opportunities for success.

  2. Embrace uniqueness: Don't be afraid to stand out and be different, just like Gloria Swanson. Embracing your individuality can lead to innovation and success in your chosen field.

  3. Engage and entertain: Whether you're a leader or an aspiring one, remember the importance of captivating your audience. Charisma and the ability to engage others are key traits of successful leaders.

In conclusion, big decisions are often influenced by factors that may seem detached from the original goal. Perception, uniqueness, and the ability to engage others all play a role in shaping our choices. Additionally, the predictability of human behavior challenges our notions of individuality and spontaneity. By understanding these common threads and incorporating the actionable advice provided, we can navigate the complexities of decision-making with greater clarity and confidence.

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