The Lindy Effect and Why Decentralization Matters: Choosing Your Next Book Wisely

Kazuki

Hatched by Kazuki

Sep 21, 2023

4 min read

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The Lindy Effect and Why Decentralization Matters: Choosing Your Next Book Wisely

In a world filled with a constant influx of information, it can be overwhelming to decide which books to read. The Lindy Effect, a concept popularized by Farnam Street, provides a valuable principle for filtering out quality information from the noise. It suggests that books that have stood the test of time - those from thousands of years ago - are still applicable and insightful today. By embracing the Lindy Effect, we can improve our Reading Return on Invested Time (RROIT) and make more informed choices about our reading material.

Charlie Munger, the renowned investor, emphasizes the importance of building a solid foundation of basic knowledge. He believes that the more basic knowledge we have, the less new knowledge we need to acquire. This implies that understanding the basics is a key element of effective thinking. It may sound boring, but getting back to basics allows us to develop a deeper understanding of simple ideas, which in turn forms a solid foundation for more complex concepts in the future. Those who grasp the basics are better equipped to predict the consequences of their actions, making them more effective decision-makers.

The Lindy Effect and the idea of getting back to basics intersect in a fascinating way. The Lindy Effect suggests that the longer something non-perishable - like a book - has been around, the longer we can expect it to live. This means that older books, which have stood the test of time, possess a higher probability of being valuable and insightful. By combining this principle with the idea of understanding the basics, we can focus our reading on books that have proven their worth over generations. It's not about prioritizing age over relevance, but rather recognizing that older doesn't necessarily mean better - it means exponentially better.

Now, let's shift our attention to the concept of decentralization and why it matters. The internet has transformed the way we live, but its core services are likely to be rearchitected in the coming decades. This evolution will be made possible by crypto-economic networks, which combine the best features of decentralized networks with capabilities that surpass those of centralized services.

Cryptonetworks are built on top of the internet and utilize consensus mechanisms like blockchains to maintain and update their state. They also employ cryptocurrencies to incentivize participants, such as miners and validators. The key advantage of cryptonetworks is that they align network participants to work together towards a common goal - the growth of the network and the appreciation of the token.

Centralized platforms follow a predictable life cycle. As they gain more users and power, their relationships with network participants shift from positive-sum to zero-sum. This has led many entrepreneurs, developers, and investors to become wary of building on top of centralized platforms. Decades of evidence have shown that doing so often ends in disappointment.

In contrast, decentralized platforms, although they may start out half-baked without clear use cases, have the potential to grow exponentially. They go through two phases of product-market fit: one between the platform and the developers/entrepreneurs who will build out the ecosystem, and another between the platform/ecosystem and end users. These decisions are made by the community using open and transparent mechanisms, similar to democratic systems in the offline world.

Drawing parallels between the Lindy Effect and the importance of decentralization, we can see that both concepts emphasize the value of longevity and community governance. Just as older books have proven their worth over time, decentralized platforms with active communities tend to improve at a faster rate than centralized systems. They attract new contributors and allow for organic growth, ultimately leading to better outcomes.

So, how can we apply these insights to choose our next book wisely and make informed decisions in a decentralized world? Here are three actionable pieces of advice:

  • 1. Prioritize books that have stood the test of time: Just as the Lindy Effect suggests, older books that have remained relevant for generations have a higher likelihood of being valuable. Seek out classics and timeless works that have shaped our understanding of various subjects.
  • 2. Embrace the basics: Understanding the fundamentals is crucial for effective thinking. By developing a deep understanding of simple ideas, you can build a solid foundation for more complex concepts. Start with the basics and gradually delve into more advanced topics.
  • 3. Explore decentralized platforms and communities: Keep an eye on emerging decentralized platforms that align incentives and involve community governance. Look for projects that are attracting active contributors and have the potential for exponential growth. By participating in these communities, you can contribute to their development and benefit from the collective intelligence.

In conclusion, the Lindy Effect and the importance of decentralization intersect in intriguing ways. By applying these principles, we can choose our next book wisely and navigate the evolving landscape of decentralized networks. Prioritizing books that have stood the test of time, embracing the basics, and exploring decentralized platforms can enhance our understanding and enable us to make more informed decisions in an ever-changing world.

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