The Intersection of AI, Automation, and Choosing a North Star Metric

Kazuki

Hatched by Kazuki

Aug 21, 2023

5 min read

0

The Intersection of AI, Automation, and Choosing a North Star Metric

Introduction:

In today's rapidly evolving world, two topics that often dominate discussions are AI and automation. Many fear that these technological advancements will lead to widespread job loss and economic decline. However, history has shown us that with every wave of automation, new classes of jobs emerge, leading to overall prosperity. This phenomenon challenges the notion of the Lump of Labour fallacy, which assumes a fixed amount of work available. In reality, automation has consistently pushed us to move up the scale of human capability, creating new opportunities that were unimaginable before.

The Jevons Paradox:

The Jevons Paradox further supports the idea that automation does not lead to job scarcity. According to Jevons, when we make a technology more efficient, it becomes cheaper to run, leading to increased usage and adoption in new and different ways. This principle applies to AI and automation as well. As these technologies become more advanced and accessible, they enable us to do more and explore new avenues, ultimately generating more jobs. The key is to embrace innovation and adapt our working methods to fit the tools at hand.

Challenges for Enterprise Software Startups:

While the potential of transformative technologies is impressive, implementing them in large, complex organizations presents significant challenges. Startups, with their 18-month funding cycles, often struggle to align with enterprises that operate on an 18-month decision cycle. Bridging this gap requires careful planning, understanding the needs and limitations of enterprise clients, and offering solutions that seamlessly integrate into their existing infrastructure. The ability to navigate this landscape successfully can be a game-changer for enterprise software startups.

Choosing a North Star Metric:

Shifting gears, let's explore the concept of choosing a North Star Metric, a critical component for businesses aiming for sustainable growth. Companies like Airbnb, Netflix, and Spotify have deliberately focused on metrics other than revenue to identify the driving force behind their success. By optimizing for a specific metric that their competitors overlook, these companies gain a competitive edge and maximize their growth potential.

The North Star Metric acts as a guiding light, aligning the entire organization towards a common goal. It helps teams avoid short-term thinking, seize new opportunities, and prioritize user experience. There are six categories of North Star Metrics, including revenue, customer growth, consumption growth, engagement growth, growth efficiency, and user experience. Different types of businesses tend to prioritize different metrics based on their unique goals and business models.

For marketplaces and platforms, consumption growth often takes precedence. By focusing on increasing the activity and usage within their ecosystem, these companies drive the flywheel of growth. Freemium team-based B2B products, on the other hand, prioritize engagement and customer growth. The more users interact with the product and invite others to join, the faster the company grows.

UGC subscription-based products value consumption as a North Star Metric. While engagement and consumption appear similar, consumption involves active creation or contribution rather than mere site visits. User-generated content that drives consumption is more likely to be shared, thereby accelerating growth. Ad-driven businesses, such as social media platforms, emphasize engagement as their North Star Metric. Daily active users (DAU) become the focus for companies like Facebook and Snapchat, while Pinterest looks at weekly active users (WAU).

Consumer subscription products may prioritize either engagement or customer growth as their North Star Metric. These companies aim to create a compelling experience that keeps users coming back for more. Lastly, products that differentiate themselves based on user experience often choose user experience as their North Star Metric. By consistently improving and refining the user experience, these companies build a loyal customer base.

Actionable Advice:

  • 1. Start with product-market fit: In the early stages of a company, the primary objective should be answering the question, "Am I building something people want?" Cohort retention, or the ability to retain users after they have used the product, becomes a crucial metric to focus on. Without user stickiness, other metrics lose their significance.
  • 2. Identify the levers: Once you have established your North Star Metric, break it down into its component parts and identify the key metrics that influence it. These input metrics become the levers that drive your desired outcome. Direct your ideation and efforts towards optimizing these input metrics to achieve your North Star Metric.
  • 3. Avoid premature revenue focus: While revenue is undoubtedly important, fixating on it too early can lead to suboptimal decision-making. Instead, concentrate on delivering value and creating a compelling user experience. Building a loyal customer base and establishing a strong product-market fit should take precedence over revenue optimization in the early stages.

Conclusion:

AI and automation have consistently demonstrated their potential to transform industries and create new opportunities. The fear of job scarcity is often unfounded, as technological advancements tend to lead to the emergence of new jobs and increased prosperity. By understanding the Jevons Paradox and embracing innovation, we can harness the power of AI and automation to drive economic growth.

Additionally, choosing a North Star Metric allows businesses to align their efforts and optimize for the metrics that truly drive their success. By selecting the right metric and breaking it down into its inputs, organizations can make informed decisions and prioritize their resources effectively. Ultimately, building something people want, focusing on user experience, and identifying the levers that move the needle will set companies on a path towards sustainable growth in the age of AI and automation.

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