The Equity Equation: How to Make Smart Business Decisions

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Hatched by Glasp

Jul 12, 2023

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The Equity Equation: How to Make Smart Business Decisions

In the world of startups and business ventures, one of the most important decisions an entrepreneur faces is how much equity to give up in exchange for valuable resources. This decision is not to be taken lightly, as it can greatly impact the future success and value of the company. But how do you know if a deal is worth it? Enter the equity equation.

The equity equation is a simple concept: you should give up a certain percentage of your company if what you trade it for improves your average outcome enough that the remaining percentage is worth more than the whole company was before. In other words, if the deal makes the company worth more than 1/(1 - n), where n is the fraction of the company you're giving up, then it's a good deal.

This equation applies not only to taking money from top VC firms, but also to giving stock to employees. When considering giving stock to a new hire, you can use the same formula in the reverse direction. If the addition of this person increases the average outcome for the company, then they are worth a certain percentage, n, such that i = 1/(1 - n), where i is the average outcome with the new person. By solving for n, you can determine how much equity to trade for their value.

For example, let's say you believe that hiring a particular individual will increase the average outcome of the whole company by 20%. Using the equation, n = (i - 1)/i, we can calculate that n = (1.2 - 1)/1.2 = 0.167. This means you should be willing to trade 16.7% of the company for this person in order to break even.

However, it's important to note that stock is not the only cost of hiring someone. There are also salary and overhead expenses to consider. To factor in these costs and translate them into stock, it is recommended to multiply the annual rate by about 1.5. This highlights the significance of early employees taking lower salaries, as it allows more stock to be allocated to them. If the trade doesn't increase the value of your remaining shares enough to put you ahead, then it may not have been a wise decision.

Now, let's shift our focus to mobile app retention rates. New data has shown that it is normal to lose 80% of mobile users, but the best apps are able to do better. The key to success lies in getting users hooked during the critical first 3-7 day period. This period is crucial for bending the retention curve and ensuring that users keep coming back to your app.

Rather than relying on notification spam, the best way to bend the retention curve is through activation. This means providing a seamless and engaging user experience from the moment they first open your app. By targeting the first few days of usage, particularly the first visit, you can create a positive impression that encourages users to stick around.

This new understanding of retention rates further emphasizes the importance of user onboarding and initial engagement strategies. By investing in creating a captivating and user-friendly experience right from the start, you can increase the chances of retaining users and ultimately driving the success of your app.

In conclusion, the equity equation and mobile app retention rates share a common theme - the importance of making smart and calculated decisions. When it comes to giving up equity, it's crucial to assess the potential value and impact of the trade-off. Similarly, in the world of mobile apps, focusing on user activation during the critical first few days can greatly improve retention rates.

To apply these concepts to your own business, here are three actionable pieces of advice:

  1. Calculate the potential value of a trade-off before giving up equity. Use the equity equation to determine if the deal will ultimately benefit your company in the long run.

  2. Invest in user onboarding and initial engagement strategies for your mobile app. By creating a positive and captivating experience from the start, you can increase retention rates and drive user loyalty.

  3. Consider the full cost of hiring someone, including salary and overhead. Balancing stock allocation and salary expenses can ensure that you are making the most cost-effective decisions for your company.

By incorporating these insights into your decision-making process, you can make more informed choices that will set your business up for success. Remember, the key is to always evaluate the potential value and impact of any trade-off or investment.

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