Good and Bad Procrastination: The Threats of Artificial General Intelligence

Good and Bad Procrastination: The Threats of Artificial General Intelligence

In today's fast-paced world, procrastination is often seen as a negative trait. We are constantly bombarded with productivity hacks and time management techniques to help us stay on top of our tasks and deadlines. However, there is an argument to be made for good procrastination - the kind that involves putting off small, insignificant tasks to focus on more important, meaningful work.

When we procrastinate by working on something less important, we are engaging in type-B procrastination. This type of procrastination may give us the illusion of productivity, but it ultimately prevents us from tackling the big problems that truly matter. If we want to make a real impact in our field, we need to identify the most important problems and prioritize working on them.

One reason why startups are often most productive in their early stages is because there are no external interruptions. Without the distractions of meetings and administrative tasks, founders can focus solely on the big picture and work towards solving the most pressing problems. This kind of undivided attention is crucial for making significant progress.

However, working on big problems can be daunting. The lack of immediate rewards and the fear of wasting time can hold us back from diving into these complex challenges. To overcome this, we need to find ways to trick ourselves into taking on big projects. We can start by working on small tasks that have the potential to grow into something significant. This gradual approach allows us to build momentum and confidence, making it easier to tackle larger problems.

Collaboration is also key in overcoming the fear of working on big projects. By sharing the moral load with others, we can lighten the burden and find support and encouragement along the way. Working together allows for different perspectives and ideas, leading to more innovative solutions.

When it comes to the threat of artificial general intelligence (AGI), procrastination is not an option. The development of AGI poses a species-level threat that requires collective action and global thinking. Just as we have addressed existential threats in the past, such as climate change, we must take this new challenge seriously.

The responsibility of handling AGI falls on tech companies, but so far, their track record has been less than stellar. The race for developing AGI has been driven by profit motives, with little consideration for the potential risks and consequences. This shortsighted approach is dangerous, as it puts humanity at risk.

To ensure the safe development of AGI, panic is necessary. We cannot afford to be complacent or rely solely on technical solutions. We need to learn from the success of climate activists and adopt their strategies of panic, lobbying, and outrage. By raising awareness and putting pressure on companies and policymakers, we can push for responsible and ethical development practices.

The cost of developing AGI is another factor that may help with containment. As long as the cost remains high, it becomes more difficult for AGIs to proliferate. However, it is important to note that costs for AGIs are likely to increase, not decrease, in the future. Regulatory oversight and legal risks will add to the already exorbitant expenses, making it less likely for AGIs to become widespread.

In conclusion, good procrastination involves prioritizing important work over trivial tasks. When faced with big problems, we need to find ways to trick ourselves into taking them on, whether through gradual progress or collaboration. When it comes to existential threats like AGI, we must not procrastinate. Panic and activism are necessary to ensure responsible development and safeguard the future of humanity.

Three actionable advice:

1. Identify the most important problems in your field and prioritize working on them.
2. Trick yourself into taking on big projects by starting with small tasks that have growth potential.
3. Advocate for responsible development of AGI through panic, lobbying, and outrage.

By following these strategies, we can overcome procrastination, tackle big challenges, and navigate the risks associated with AGI. The future of humanity depends on our ability to take action now.