The Surprising Power of Playing the Long Game: Navigating San Francisco's Housing Crisis

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Jul 11, 2023

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The Surprising Power of Playing the Long Game: Navigating San Francisco's Housing Crisis

In a world where most people play the short game, playing the long game offers a huge advantage. The most successful people in any field all play the long game. The long game isn’t particularly notable. It doesn’t attract a lot of attention. In fact, from the outside, the long game looks boring. The tiny advantages that accrue aren’t noticed until success becomes too obvious to ignore. The long game allows you to compound results. The longer you play the better the rewards.

But how does playing the long game relate to the housing crisis in San Francisco? Let's delve into the factors that have contributed to the current situation and how a long-term perspective is crucial in finding solutions.

San Francisco's housing crisis is a complex issue influenced by a multitude of factors. The city's height limits, rent control, and permitting processes are all products of tenant, environmental, and preservationist movements that have arisen and fallen over decades. These measures were put in place to protect the city's environment, architectural heritage, and overall quality of life. However, they have inadvertently contributed to the housing shortage and skyrocketing prices.

One key factor in the housing crisis is the changing demographics of the city. As people marry later and employment becomes more temporal, young adults and affluent retirees are moving into the urban core, while immigrants and the less affluent are moving out. Nearly 50 percent of Americans, or more than 100 million people, are unmarried today, up from around 22 percent in 1950. The concept of lifetime employment has also faded, with younger workers deriving their job security from a large network of weak ties that lasts from one company to the next.

Furthermore, the rise of social networking has had a profound impact on the city's culture. As tech workers have moved into cities, the industry has changed San Francisco's culture, and in turn, the city has changed the technology industry. This gentrification wave has been going on for decades longer than the word "dot-com" has existed. The city's progressivism is concerned with consumption more than production, residence more than workplace, and community empowerment more than class struggle.

One side effect of the housing crisis is the lack of housing development. While the city has added an average of 1,500 units per year for the last 20 years, the population has grown by 32,000 people from 2010 to 2013 alone. Building permits in San Francisco are discretionary, making the process more complex and time-consuming compared to other major U.S. cities. This has contributed to the low number of new construction permits and the high median prices per square foot.

To address the housing crisis effectively, it is essential to play the long game. Here are three actionable pieces of advice:

  1. Embrace the long-term perspective: Recognize that finding solutions to the housing crisis will require sacrifice and patience. Be willing to pay a small price today to make tomorrow easier. Understand that the accumulation of tiny advantages, such as supporting housing development and advocating for policy changes, will lead to greater rewards in the future.

  2. Prioritize what matters to you: You can't play a long-term game in everything. Identify the areas where you can make a difference and focus your efforts there. Whether it's advocating for affordable housing, supporting community empowerment, or promoting sustainable development, choose the causes that align with your values and have the potential for long-term impact.

  3. Foster collaboration and communication: The housing crisis is a complex issue that requires collaboration between various stakeholders, including policymakers, developers, community organizations, and residents. Build strong relationships and networks to facilitate meaningful conversations and work towards viable solutions. Engage in open dialogue, listen to different perspectives, and find common ground to create a more inclusive and sustainable housing ecosystem.

In conclusion, playing the long game is not only applicable to personal success but also to addressing societal challenges like the housing crisis in San Francisco. By embracing a long-term perspective, prioritizing meaningful action, and fostering collaboration, we can work towards creating a more equitable and affordable housing landscape for all. The road ahead may be challenging, but the rewards of playing the long game are undoubtedly worth it.

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