In the world of AI, there are several new theories emerging that shed light on the future of this technology. These theories explore different aspects of AI, from the importance of fine-tuned models to the impact of open-source on AI startups. By examining these theories, we can gain valuable insights into the direction AI is headed and how it will shape various industries.

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Hatched by Glasp

Jul 23, 2023

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In the world of AI, there are several new theories emerging that shed light on the future of this technology. These theories explore different aspects of AI, from the importance of fine-tuned models to the impact of open-source on AI startups. By examining these theories, we can gain valuable insights into the direction AI is headed and how it will shape various industries.

One theory suggests that fine-tuned models will be the winners in the AI space. Fine-tuning involves tailoring foundational models to specific use cases, making them more cost-effective for narrow applications. While foundational models may have better overall performance, fine-tuned models can gradually improve over time, making them more suitable for specific tasks. This theory highlights the importance of deploying AI models for narrow use cases to lower prompt completion costs.

Another theory focuses on the long-term differentiation of AI models based on data-generating use cases. Data loops, where AI providers incorporate feedback mechanisms into their products and use that feedback to retrain the model, play a crucial role in this theory. Startups that can capture this model-to-output-to-retrain loop will have a competitive advantage. This theory suggests that owning both the model provider and the endpoint solution is essential for success in the AI space.

Open source also plays a significant role in the AI landscape, as explored by another theory. Open-source AI models can erode market power and put downward pricing pressure on model providers that sell access to their models via API. To counter this, some AI companies have taken equity stakes in promising startups to navigate pricing pressure. This theory highlights the need for model providers to find innovative ways to compete in a market where open-source options are readily available.

In the realm of endpoints selling AI services, the theory suggests that competition lies in go-to-market (GTM) strategies rather than AI capabilities. Startups either need to fully own fine-tuned models or compete on the typical attributes of a SaaS startup. In this context, companies with inherent distribution or product capabilities have a competitive advantage. Major software providers are expected to integrate generative AI into their products in the near future, further emphasizing the importance of AI in the SaaS space.

AI's impact on the creator economy is also a topic of discussion. AI is likely to amplify existing power law dynamics, where a small percentage of creators earn the majority of revenue. Creators who utilize AI tools effectively to produce better content at a faster pace will have an advantage in building a dedicated fan base. Additionally, AI products that enable new modalities of digital interactions are more likely to succeed and disrupt traditional computing models.

Lastly, the theory of invisible AI suggests that the most valuable deployment of AI is when it is seamlessly integrated into a company's operations without explicitly mentioning it. AI products that break traditional mental models of computing and enable new digital interactions have the potential for significant success. By combining search capabilities with generative AI, companies can create truly innovative and valuable experiences.

In conclusion, these new theories about AI provide valuable insights into the future of this technology. Fine-tuned models, data-generating use cases, open-source dynamics, go-to-market strategies, creator economy dynamics, and invisible AI all play crucial roles in shaping the AI landscape. To navigate this evolving landscape, here are three actionable pieces of advice:

  1. Focus on fine-tuned models for narrow use cases to lower prompt completion costs.
  2. Invest in data-generating use cases to establish long-term model differentiation.
  3. Embrace innovative go-to-market strategies and consider the integration of generative AI into existing products.

By following these pieces of advice, businesses can position themselves for success in the AI space and harness the full potential of this transformative technology.

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