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Why JD.com (JD) Stock Will Reach $165 Per Share or $260 Billion Market Cap

15.2K views
•
December 14, 2020
by
The Intelligent Investor
YouTube video player
Why JD.com (JD) Stock Will Reach $165 Per Share or $260 Billion Market Cap

TL;DR

JD.com, the second largest e-commerce company in China, has the potential to reach $165 per share or $260 billion in market cap in the next 3 years based on its intrinsic value, competitive advantages, and long-term growth prospects.

Transcript

Hello everyone, this is Victor here. Welcome to  the Intelligent Investor Channel, where you will   learn about “stock investing and personal finance”  that will help you become a great investor.  In today’s video, I am going  to talk about JD.com stock.   I’m going to talk about “Why I  believe JD stock will grow to $165   per share or $260 billio... Read More

Key Insights

  • 👨‍💼 JD.com is similar to Amazon in terms of its business model and focus on B2C online retail.
  • 🥶 The company's growing net revenues and positive free cash flow indicate a healthy core e-commerce business.
  • 😌 JD.com's competitive advantages lie in its nationwide logistics network and its commitment to offering high-quality, genuine products.
  • 🍉 China's large population and increasing e-commerce market present significant opportunities for JD.com's long-term growth.
  • 💱 Regulatory risks, such as potential delisting from US stock exchanges, and competition from companies like Alibaba and Pinduoduo are important considerations.
  • 🙂 JD.com's intrinsic value suggests that the stock is currently fairly valued or slightly undervalued.
  • 🥶 Doubling revenue and free cash flow within the next 3 years is crucial for JD.com's stock to reach $165 per share or $260 billion market cap.

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Questions & Answers

Q: What is JD.com's primary business model and how does it differ from Alibaba?

JD.com operates as a B2C online retail store, buying inventories directly from suppliers and selling genuine products to customers. Alibaba, on the other hand, operates online marketplaces connecting businesses-to-businesses and businesses-to-consumers.

Q: What is JD.com's market share compared to Alibaba and Pinduoduo?

According to eMarketer, Alibaba owns 55.9% of the retail e-commerce market share, JD.com owns 16.7%, and Pinduoduo owns 7.3% in 2019. The e-commerce market in China is dominated by these three companies.

Q: What are JD.com's competitive advantages in the market?

JD.com's main competitive advantages are its nationwide logistics network, allowing fast delivery within 24 hours, and its focus on offering higher quality and authentic products compared to its competitors.

Q: What are the catalysts that will drive JD.com's long-term growth?

Some catalysts for JD.com's long-term growth include China's large population and e-commerce market, increased online purchasing using smartphones, and JD.com's appeal for customers seeking higher quality products and faster delivery.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • JD.com is the second largest e-commerce company in China, known as the Amazon of China, primarily operating as a B2C online retail store.

  • JD's net revenues have been growing consistently at a compound annual growth rate of 34% between 2015 and 2019, with a positive free cash flow growth.

  • With its nationwide logistics network, higher quality products, and growing e-commerce market in China, JD has competitive advantages and catalysts for long-term growth.


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