Is Amazon Stock Undervalued? Key Insights & Analysis

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March 15, 2022
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The Intelligent Investor
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Is Amazon Stock Undervalued? Key Insights & Analysis

TL;DR

Amazon stock is currently considered undervalued, particularly following its recent 20-for-1 stock split and substantial share buyback program. This analysis highlights Amazon's robust business segments, especially AWS, which drives profitability, while also addressing potential risks like higher operating costs and antitrust scrutiny.

Transcript

Hi everyone, this is Victor here. In this video, I’m going to analyze Amazon stock   to see if it is greatly undervalued now. At the time of making this video,   Nasdaq is in a large correction. Nasdaq  has dropped 22% from its most recent peak.   Amazon stock has dropped 24% from its most recent  peak. Amazon is still one of the best-performing   ... Read More

Key Insights

  • 🙊 Amazon stock has dropped 24% from its recent peak, paralleling the Nasdaq correction.
  • 👨‍💼 AWS is the most profitable business for Amazon, with consistent growth and a large economic moat.
  • 🥳 Amazon's e-commerce business, including online stores and third-party seller services, is mature but still expected to grow.
  • ✋ Higher operating costs and antitrust issues pose risks to Amazon's profitability.
  • ❓ The estimated intrinsic value of Amazon suggests that the stock is potentially undervalued.

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Questions & Answers

Q: What does the stock split mean for retail investors?

A 20-for-1 stock split means that for each Amazon share owned, investors will receive 19 additional shares. This increases affordability and liquidity for the stock.

Q: How does Amazon's business model generate revenue?

Amazon's main revenue drivers are its online stores, third-party seller services, and AWS. Prime membership and advertising services also contribute to its revenue.

Q: What are the risks associated with investing in Amazon?

The main risks for Amazon include higher operating costs, inflation, supply chain issues, antitrust issues, and potential valuation losses from investments such as Rivian stock.

Q: What is the intrinsic value of Amazon stock?

Using a sum-of-the-parts valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of Amazon is around $1.6 trillion for the entire company, or $3,095 per share before the stock split.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Nasdaq has dropped 22% from its recent peak, while Amazon stock has dropped 24%.

  • The analysis covers topics such as Amazon's stock split and share buyback, business overview, revenue guidance, economic moat, and risks.

  • Amazon's online stores, third-party seller services, and AWS are its most profitable businesses.


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