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Is Boeing Stock a Good Buy Now? Analysis and Valuation

March 3, 2020
by
Learn to Invest - Investors Grow
YouTube video player
Is Boeing Stock a Good Buy Now? Analysis and Valuation

TL;DR

Boeing stock may be a good buy with a fair value estimated at $371 per share, driven by a recovery in its defense and global services segments, despite challenges in the commercial airplane division. The stock’s value is primarily affected by the 737 Max issues, but future growth predictions suggest potential upside for investors.

Transcript

Hi, I'm Jimmy in this video, we're looking at Boeing ticker symbol BA. OK. So first I'm going to dove into Boeing's business and then we'll see if we can try to come up with a fair value for Boeing stock using a discounted free cash flow valuation technique. OK. Let's dove into the business. Now, Boeing is one of the world's largest aerospace compa... Read More

Key Insights

  • ✈️ Boeing's stock value heavily impacted by 737 Max issues in the commercial airplane segment.
  • 🧚 DCF valuation estimates fair value of Boeing stock at $371 per share, considering future cash flow projections.
  • 👾 Growth in Boeing's defense space and security segment provides stability amid commercial airplane struggles.
  • 😮 Global Services segment revenue is on the rise, contributing to overall business recovery.

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Questions & Answers

Q: What are the main revenue segments for Boeing, and how did they perform in 2019?

Boeing's main revenue segments are commercial airplanes, defense space, and security, and Global Services. Commercial airplanes struggled in 2019 due to the 737 Max issues, impacting overall performance.

Q: How did the grounding of Boeing's 737 Max planes affect their stock performance?

The grounding of the 737 Max planes led to a decline in Boeing's stock by over 30% due to operational and cash flow issues related to the commercial airplane segment.

Q: How does Boeing's DCF valuation method determine the fair value of their stock?

The DCF method uses analysts' estimates of future free cash flow to estimate the fair value of Boeing stock, factoring in growth projections and discount rates.

Q: What impact does Boeing's increased debt have on their stock valuation?

Boeing's increased debt has a significant effect on their stock valuation, leading to a lower fair value estimate due to the added financial burden.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Boeing's revenue breakdown: Commercial airplanes (42%), defense space, and security (34%), Global Services (24%).

  • Commercial airplane segment struggles due to 737 Max issues, leading to stock decline.

  • DCF valuation estimates fair value of Boeing stock at $371/share, impacted by debt increase.


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