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We Just Broke The Unemployment Record... AGAIN!

April 2, 2020
by
Ryan Scribner
YouTube video player
We Just Broke The Unemployment Record... AGAIN!

TL;DR

Unemployment filings in the US have skyrocketed, with 6.6 million new claims in one week, more than double the previous record. Predictions for the peak unemployment rate range from 11.5% to 32.1%.

Transcript

now for those who are keeping track last week we shattered the previous record for the number of new unemployment filings in a given week and this is not a record that you would be proud of this is kind of like that kid in high school who had the record for the most days absent throughout the entire year and guess what guys we did it again we shatt... Read More

Key Insights

  • 👶 Unemployment filings in the US have reached record-breaking numbers, with 6.6 million new claims in one week.
  • 👨‍💼 The closure of businesses due to the pandemic is the primary cause of this surge in unemployment.
  • 🙈 California and New York have seen the highest increase in unemployment claims, reflecting the severity of measures taken in these states.
  • 🔈 The peak unemployment rate during the 2008 recession was significantly lower than current predictions for the impact of the pandemic.
  • ☠️ Estimates for the peak unemployment rate vary, with predictions ranging from 11.5% to 32.1%.
  • 😘 The lowest unemployment rate in 2019 was 3.5%, indicating a healthy economy before the pandemic.
  • 💄 The economic fallout from the pandemic makes accurate predictions about unemployment numbers difficult.

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Questions & Answers

Q: How many unemployment filings were there in the week ending March 28th?

The number of new unemployment filings in that week was 6.6 million, more than double the previous week's record-setting numbers.

Q: How does the current surge in unemployment compare to previous recessions?

While it is not a fair comparison, as the current situation is due to a pandemic, the peak unemployment filings during the 2008 recession were 665,000 in a given week, significantly lower than the current numbers.

Q: What is the unemployment rate that indicates a healthy economy?

Under normal circumstances, the Federal Reserve suggests an unemployment rate between 3.5% and 4.5% as an indicator of a healthy economy.

Q: What are some predictions for the peak unemployment rate?

Goldman Sachs predicts a peak unemployment rate of 15%, while the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis expects 32.1%. Other estimates fall between 11.5% and 32%.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Unemployment filings in the US reached a staggering 6.6 million in one week, nearly doubling the previous record set just a week prior.

  • The closure of businesses and economic shutdown due to the pandemic is the primary cause of this unprecedented surge in unemployment.

  • California and New York have seen the highest increase in unemployment claims, reflecting the drastic measures taken in these states.


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