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AMZN To Effectively Manage Dilution ???

13.3K views
•
April 7, 2024
by
Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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AMZN To Effectively Manage Dilution ???

TL;DR

Amazon stock doubled, but with a high P/E ratio & dilution concerns, it may not be a buy now.

Transcript

good day fell investors a year and a half ago I told you that Amazon is a good buy based on the maximum risk there and a good reward of 2x from the 90 stock price there after a 50% Decline and that was November 8th 2022 and fast forward a year and a half this has doubled so this 2x was completely correct and now we are in a situation where we have ... Read More

Key Insights

  • 💪 Amazon stock doubled in value over a year and a half, driven by strong sales growth and operational improvements.
  • 🌎 The company is optimizing free cash flows and showing profitability in key segments like North America and Amazon Web Services.
  • 🥳 Concerns about a high P/E ratio of 60, dilution from stock-based awards, and potential growth slowdown pose risks for investors.
  • ❓ Managing dilution through stock buybacks could impact Amazon's future earnings potential and valuation.
  • 🥳 Despite being a solid company, Amazon's current size and growth challenges make it riskier at a high P/E ratio of 60.
  • 🌥️ Historical investing strategies may not apply to Amazon as it transitions into a mature, large company.
  • ⚖️ Balancing the risks and rewards of investing in Amazon requires careful consideration of valuation, dilution, and growth prospects.

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Questions & Answers

Q: How has Amazon's stock performance been over the past year and a half?

Amazon's stock has doubled in value due to strong sales growth, profits, and operational improvements, but concerns about a high P/E ratio and dilution exist.

Q: What are the positive aspects of Amazon's financial performance?

Amazon has seen growth in operating income, cash flows, and free cash flows, along with profitable segments such as North America and Amazon Web Services.

Q: What are the potential risks associated with investing in Amazon at its current market cap?

Risks include a high P/E ratio, dilution from stock-based awards, and the possibility of growth slowing down, making it a less attractive investment option.

Q: What is the recommendation for investors regarding Amazon stock?

While Amazon remains a strong company, concerns about valuation, dilution, and future growth suggest it may not be a relative buy at its current P/E ratio of 60, but potential for future growth remains.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Amazon stock doubled in value over a year and a half, showing strong growth in sales and profits.

  • Positive factors include increasing operating income, cash flows, and optimizing free cash flows.

  • Concerns arise from a high P/E ratio, dilution from stock-based awards, and potential slowdown in growth.


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