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Waiting For a Stock Market Crash Has A Huge Opportunity Cost

14.0K views
•
June 24, 2019
by
Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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Waiting For a Stock Market Crash Has A Huge Opportunity Cost

TL;DR

Don't wait for a stock market crash, focus on time in the market for higher investing returns.

Transcript

good excellent masters I read many comments about stock market crashes and how you're waiting for a stock market crash I thank you for the comments and leave always a common always I'm always happy to read it but I might not disagree on the waiting for a stock market crash because I think that over the very long term it doesn't maximize your invest... Read More

Key Insights

  • ☠️ Timing the market involves unreliable predictions of stock prices, economy, and interest rates.
  • 🛩️ Deep stock market crashes are rare compared to smaller fluctuations, making timing difficult.
  • ↩️ Investing based on stable business returns can lead to higher long-term investment returns.
  • 👨‍💼 Warren Buffett's strategy of investing in businesses for the long term is highlighted as a successful approach.
  • 🔬 Reinvesting dividends and staying invested can help mitigate the impact of market crashes.
  • 🥺 Focusing on individual businesses' yields over stock prices can lead to satisfactory returns.
  • 👨‍💼 Maximize long-term investment returns by avoiding market timing and focusing on business performance.

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Questions & Answers

Q: Why does the speaker advise against waiting for a stock market crash?

The speaker believes that waiting for a crash to invest is based on unreliable predictions and can lead to missed opportunities for higher returns in the long term.

Q: How does timing the market differ from being fully invested?

Timing the market involves speculating on short-term price movements, while being fully invested focuses on long-term business returns regardless of market fluctuations.

Q: How does the speaker approach investing in REITs?

The speaker researches REITs based on stable returns from quality properties and tenants, aiming for high single-digit to low double-digit returns over the long term.

Q: Why does the speaker emphasize investing in businesses instead of timing the market?

Investing in businesses based on their returns ensures a focus on long-term growth and compounding, rather than trying to predict market movements for short-term gains.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Timing the market is unreliable as it involves predicting stock prices, economy, and Fed actions.

  • Historical data shows that deep stock market crashes are rare compared to smaller fluctuations.

  • Investing based on business returns and being fully invested can lead to better long-term returns.


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