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Airport Stocks Are A Buy - Not Airline Stocks - FRAPORT STOCK ANALYSIS

37.5K views
•
July 11, 2020
by
Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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Airport Stocks Are A Buy - Not Airline Stocks - FRAPORT STOCK ANALYSIS

TL;DR

Investing in airports can provide significant growth opportunities due to the global population increase and rising middle class, presenting advantages over airline stocks.

Transcript

good day fell investors many especially here on youtube are focused on airline stocks but if you want to get exposed to the growth the mega trend that is travel global population the global middle class population is going from the current 3.5 billion to 5.5 billion over the next decade plus 80 percent of the current population was never in an airp... Read More

Key Insights

  • 🛄 The global middle class population increase and changing consumer behavior drive air traffic growth, making airports an attractive investment option.
  • ✋ Airports have advantages over airlines due to their mode, fixed cost structure, and potential for higher profits.
  • 😘 The COVID-19 pandemic has created investment opportunities in airport stocks, with lower price earnings ratios and higher dividend yields.
  • 🛄 Expanding airports globally may pose risks if the expected growth in air traffic does not materialize or if overinvestment occurs.
  • 🍉 Long-term growth projections for the airport industry make it an enticing investment opportunity.

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Questions & Answers

Q: Why is investing in airports considered a better option than investing in airlines?

Owning airports offers advantages as they have a mode, making them difficult to replicate, unlike airlines that face intense competition. Additionally, airports benefit from global mega trends like urbanization and increasing air travel demand.

Q: What are the growth projections for the airport industry?

The market for air traffic is expected to grow at an average of 4.6% per year over the next two decades, making the industry 2.5 times larger in 20 years. This growth presents opportunities for airports to increase profitability and generate higher dividends.

Q: Are airport stocks risky investments?

Airport stocks tend to be less risky compared to airlines during normal crises as airports remain cash flow profitable, even in recessions. Additionally, airports have a relatively fixed cost structure compared to revenue growth, leading to higher profits.

Q: What are the risks associated with investing in airports?

Risks include slower than expected growth in the industry, potential competition from other airports, and potential debt issues. The duration of the COVID-19 pandemic also poses a risk in the short term.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Global middle class population is projected to increase from 3.5 billion to 5.5 billion over the next decade, creating substantial growth potential for the travel industry.

  • Owning airports rather than airlines offers advantages, as airports have a mode and are not easily replicated, whereas airlines face fierce competition.

  • Airports provide exposure to global mega trends, such as increasing urbanization and changing consumer behavior, driving air traffic growth.

  • Airport stocks have been historically expensive but currently present an attractive investment opportunity, with lower price earnings ratios and higher dividend yields.


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