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This Bearish Trade Idea For Home Depot Profits Even If Stock Unexpectedly Rises | IBD

June 21, 2023
by
Investor's Business Daily
YouTube video player
This Bearish Trade Idea For Home Depot Profits Even If Stock Unexpectedly Rises | IBD

TL;DR

Home Depot stock shows signs of resistance, making a bearish trade strategy using a bear call spread for potential profit.

Transcript

foreign so now we're looking at Home Depot here so before we take a look at the option chain for a potential trade here Harold let's talk about the outlook for Home Depot stock and analyze this Market Smith chart here for us yeah so if you go to the weekly chart and this is what attracted me for a potential short idea you see Home Depot it just fir... Read More

Key Insights

  • 😀 Home Depot stock is facing resistance at the 40-week moving average and a previous gap, indicating potential downside.
  • 🫥 The relative strength (RS) line shows weakness, supporting the bearish outlook.
  • 🧔 The bear call spread options strategy provides both risk management and profit potential.
  • 👻 The August 18 expiration is chosen for the trade to allow for potential market fluctuations.
  • ↩️ Calculations for probability of success and return on risk show favorable numbers.
  • 🥳 Monitoring the trade around 21 days to expiration and considering profit targets can help make informed decisions.
  • 🤣 Rolling the trade or closing it out may be options if the profit target is not reached by the desired timeframe.

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Questions & Answers

Q: What are the reasons behind considering a bearish trade on Home Depot stock?

Home Depot stock is struggling to break above its 40-week moving average and faces resistance from a previous gap in February. The relative strength (RS) line also shows weakness, providing a bearish outlook.

Q: What is the specific options trading strategy being recommended for Home Depot?

The proposed strategy is a bear call spread using the August 18 expiration. This involves selling the 315 call and buying the 320 call for protection.

Q: What are the break-even and profit levels for this options trade?

The break-even level for this trade is between 315 and 316, while the maximum profit is the credit received, which is $155.

Q: How many contracts should be bought for this options trade?

Based on portfolio size and risk tolerance, 7 contracts are suggested for this trade.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Home Depot stock is facing resistance at the 40-week moving average and a previous gap in February, indicating potential weakness.

  • The relative strength (RS) line also shows weakness, supporting the bearish assessment.

  • A bear call spread options trading strategy is proposed using the August 18 expiration, selling the 315 call and buying the 320 call for protection.


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