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THE FED HAS JUST WARNED US ABOUT THE RECESSION! WATCH OUT! JOBS REPORT RELEASED WITH JOLTS REPORT!

13.6K views
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April 7, 2023
by
Stock Moe
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THE FED HAS JUST WARNED US ABOUT THE RECESSION! WATCH OUT! JOBS REPORT RELEASED WITH JOLTS REPORT!

TL;DR

The Federal Reserve suggests that the tight labor market may be contributing to higher inflation, leading to the possibility of a recession and job losses.

Transcript

hi everyone welcome back the markets are closed but we're here doing our thing and they're giving us the reports out there that are going to be Market Movers here on Monday this is wild stuff I I got to tell you I did a video this morning for those who are following the channel and if you're not what are you waiting for man I'm bringing you the jui... Read More

Key Insights

  • 🥺 Wage growth is not sufficient to keep up with inflation, leading to a decline in real purchasing income.
  • 🫥 The Fed is considering drastic measures, such as a deep recession, to control inflation and bring wage growth in line with their targets.
  • ✳️ Job reports and other economic indicators suggest potential risks and imbalances in the economy.

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Questions & Answers

Q: How did the job reports for March impact the economy?

The job reports showed modest job growth and a decrease in unemployment, indicating a positive trend for the economy. However, wage growth is not in line with the Fed's target inflation rate, which raises concerns.

Q: What is the Federal Reserve's view on high inflation and wage growth?

The Fed believes that high inflation is partly caused by the tight labor market and that sustainable wage growth should align with their target inflation rate of 2%.

Q: How does a decrease in job openings affect the economy?

The decrease in job openings indicates a potential imbalance between job availability and the number of workers, leading to concerns for businesses trying to hire. This could impact overall economic growth.

Q: What are the projections for inflation and job losses?

The Fed forecasts inflation to be between 3 to 4 percent by the end of the year. Some reports suggest that in order to bring inflation under control, a deep recession may be necessary, potentially resulting in a loss of around 2 million jobs.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Job reports for March show that the US economy added 236,000 jobs and unemployment dropped to 3.5%.

  • Wage growth is not consistent with the Fed's target inflation rate of 2%, leading to concerns about potential stagflation.

  • The Federal Reserve is considering the possibility of causing a deep recession to bring inflation under control.

  • The Fed's projections suggest that inflation will be between 3 to 4 percent by the end of the year.


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