Is Coca Cola a Stock to Buy Now? | KO Stock Analysis | Coke Stock

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October 15, 2021
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Is Coca Cola a Stock to Buy Now? | KO Stock Analysis | Coke Stock

TL;DR

Coca-Cola does not appear to be an obvious buy based on this eight-pillar analysis because its valuation, revenue decline, dividend burden, and liabilities raise concerns. The company had a $236 billion market cap and a five-year P/E ratio of 38.3, while revenue fell from $47.5 billion to $36 billion over 10 years. Read on to weigh those risks against rising profit and free cash flow.

Transcript

paul warren buffett's been in love with coca-cola for a long time you and i drink coca-cola like it's water i'm gonna cook zero like it's water of course and did you notice coke zoo re-branded much to my demise your demise surprise whatever word i know i like the black can more than the red kid of course i'll get used to it though but coke we've ta... Read More

Key Insights

  • ๐Ÿฅฐ Coca-Cola has been in Warren Buffett's portfolio since 1988, showcasing his long-term love for the company.
  • ๐Ÿคจ The company's declining revenue but increasing profits raises questions about its long-term growth strategy.
  • ๐Ÿฅณ Coca-Cola's high dividend payment ratio may concern investors regarding its ability to reinvest earnings.
  • ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿญ The company's substantial other income expenses warrant further investigation to understand the factors behind these fluctuations.
  • โœ‹ Coca-Cola's current market cap is higher than the value suggested by a stock analyzer tool, indicating a potentially overvalued stock.
  • ๐Ÿค˜ Despite the declining revenue, Coca-Cola's profit growth remains robust, which may be a positive sign for investors.
  • ๐Ÿ”‡ The stock's trading volume has been relatively stable, demonstrating consistent investor interest.

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Questions & Answers

Q: Is Coca-Cola stock a buy now?

The analysis does not present Coca-Cola as an obvious buy at the examined price. Its five-year P/E ratio was 38.3, above the analysis target of 22.5, while declining revenue, high dividend payments, and long-term liabilities also raised concerns.

Q: How expensive was Coca-Cola stock in this analysis?

Coca-Cola had a market capitalization of $236 billion and a five-year P/E ratio of 38.3. The analysis sought a P/E below 22.5, and even the prior year's P/E was 30.

Q: Why did Coca-Cola's revenue decline?

The analysis shows revenue falling from $38.86 billion to $36.41 billion over five years and from $47.5 billion to $36 billion over 10 years. It suggests that asset or business sales could be involved but explicitly says the cause was not known and required investigation.

Q: How much of Coca-Cola's free cash flow went toward dividends?

Coca-Cola paid a 3.8% dividend, with $8.9 billion paid in dividends against five-year average free cash flow of $7.46 billion. Even if the latest $11.5 billion free cash flow continued, the dividend would consume roughly 80% to 90% of free cash flow.

Q: What was Coca-Cola's profit growth trend?

Profit increased from $4.15 billion to $8.08 billion, earning a check mark in the analysis. That growth occurred while revenue declined, so the analysis flagged Coca-Cola's other income and expenses as an area requiring closer examination.

Q: Did Coca-Cola reduce its shares outstanding?

Shares outstanding decreased slightly from 4.32 billion to 4.31 billion. The analysis counted this as a check mark, but described it as only barely qualifying.

Q: How did Coca-Cola's long-term liabilities compare with free cash flow?

Five-year average free cash flow was about $7.5 billion, producing a preferred liability threshold of $37.5 billion when multiplied by five. Coca-Cola's total long-term liabilities were about $50.6 billion, higher than the analysis wanted to see, although this was described as a starting point rather than an automatic reason to avoid the stock.

Q: What positive financial signals did the Coca-Cola analysis identify?

Return on invested capital was 10.5%, above the analysis threshold of 9%. Free cash flow also increased from $6.31 billion to $11.5 billion, while profit rose from $4.15 billion to $8.08 billion.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Coca-Cola has a market cap of $236 billion, with a high P/E ratio and declining revenue over the past five years.

  • The company's dividend payment ratio is high, consuming a large portion of its free cash flow.

  • Coca-Cola's profit growth is strong, but it has a significant amount of other income expenses and a slightly decreasing number of outstanding shares.


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