Commodities ‘supercyle’: why you should be bullish on mining stocks

TL;DR

The mining sector experienced volatility in the first half of 2021 but has seen positive growth due to stimulus programs, new demand, and supply interruptions. The second half of 2021 is expected to be bullish, especially for the junior mining sector.

Transcript

hello i'm joined today by john mayer mining analyst at broker sp angel now john we've seen some volatility in the mining sector during the first half of 2021 but the sector's up around a third in the past 12 months so what have been the major influences on commodities so far this year and what will likely influence the second half of uh 2021 well i... Read More

Key Insights

• 🙈 The mining sector experienced volatility but has seen positive growth due to stimulus programs, new demand, and supply interruptions.
• 🤩 China's stimulus programs and demand for metals are key drivers of the commodities super cycle.
• 💨 Electric vehicles and offshore wind farms are major growth areas that will drive the demand for metals such as copper, steel, and lithium.
• 🙈 Cobalt, despite concerns about its origin, remains an important metal for battery production and is seeing increased importation by China.

Questions & Answers

Q: What were the major influences on commodities in the first half of 2021?

The major influences on commodities were stimulus programs, new demand in the construction sector, and supply interruptions that led to confidence in the mining sector.

Q: Will the second half of 2021 be positive for the mining sector?

Yes, the second half of 2021 is expected to be bullish, especially for the junior mining sector. However, caution is advised for bigger mining companies due to the Chinese government's plan to pull back on commodity prices.

Q: What are the key drivers of the commodities super cycle?

The key drivers of the commodities super cycle are China's growing influence and metals consumption, the US catching up on infrastructure development, and the demand for metals in electric vehicles and new energy technology.

Q: Which metals should investors focus on for gaining exposure to the commodities super cycle?

Investors should focus on copper, steel, gold, lithium, tin, nickel, and rare earth metals. These metals are critical components in electric vehicles, offshore wind farms, and other renewable energy technologies.

Summary & Key Takeaways

• The mining sector initially faced uncertainty due to the coronavirus crisis and the recession, but confidence returned with stimulus programs and new demand in the construction sector.

• China's stimulus programs and supply interruptions played a major role in lifting commodities and mining shares.

• The second half of 2021 is expected to be positive, but caution is advised for bigger mining companies as the Chinese government plans to pull back on commodity prices.