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Scenario 10: Societal Risk Assessment

August 17, 2017
by
MIT OpenCourseWare
YouTube video player
Scenario 10: Societal Risk Assessment

TL;DR

A guest speaker discusses the high risks associated with the liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility in Boston Harbor and proposes a new risk assessment process to properly evaluate these risks.

Transcript

GUEST SPEAKER: Good morning. Thank you for inviting me here today to speak to you about the liquefied natural gas facility in Boston Harbor. Based on my experience as director of the Boston Harbor Associates, I believe that the risks of this LNG facility are too high and that a new risk assessment is needed to properly evaluate these risks. This mo... Read More

Key Insights

  • 🫢 The LNG facility in Boston Harbor poses high risks due to the potential for a gas leak and subsequent explosion.
  • 💦 The transportation of LNG through water increases the challenges of containing spills.
  • 🖤 The current risk assessment fails to account for human error and lacks adequate monitoring.
  • ✳️ A new risk assessment process should involve public input and consideration of the level of risk society is willing to accept.
  • 🧑‍🔬 Scientists should estimate the likelihood of accidents, considering human error and non-compliance with safety measures.
  • ⚾ The government should make decisions based on the risk assessment findings and implement regular safety monitoring.
  • ✳️ Alternative energy sources should be compared for potential risks if the LNG facility is deemed too risky.

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Questions & Answers

Q: What are the potential consequences of a gas leak from the LNG facility in Boston Harbor?

A gas leak could lead to a large explosion, causing major damage to infrastructure and property, as well as a potential loss of human life.

Q: What are the problems with the current risk assessment for the facility?

The current risk assessment assumes that all safety measures are being taken 100% of the time, without accounting for human error or negligence. Site visits by regulatory agencies are infrequent and announced ahead of time, failing to accurately reflect day-to-day safety measures.

Q: How can a new risk assessment be conducted?

The speaker recommends a 2-step process. The government, along with public input, should determine the acceptable level of risk. Then, a group of scientists should conduct the risk assessment, considering the possibility of human error and non-compliance with safety measures.

Q: What should be done if the risk assessment findings do not align with the society's acceptable level of risk?

If the risk assessment shows that the facility exceeds the predetermined level of acceptable risk, the government should consider closing the facility. Otherwise, regular safety monitoring and adherence to safety measures should be ensured.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • The LNG facility in Boston Harbor carries the risk of a gas leak, which could lead to a fire and a large explosion.

  • The risks are even greater when LNG is transported through water, as spills could spread more quickly and be harder to contain.

  • The current risk assessment for the facility is inadequate, as it does not account for human error or negligence and has limited monitoring.


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