THIS Could Kill the Stock Market | Investors Have it All Wrong | Summary and Q&A

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April 12, 2022
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Let's Talk Money! with Joseph Hogue, CFA
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THIS Could Kill the Stock Market | Investors Have it All Wrong

TL;DR

Despite popular belief, history shows that stocks usually perform well during Fed interest rate hikes due to a strong economy, low unemployment, and healthy consumer spending.

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Key Insights

  • ☠️ The recent stock market selloff was not primarily caused by the Fed's interest rate hikes but was influenced by investor behavior and overreactions to expected news.
  • ☠️ History shows that stocks, bonds, and real estate tend to perform well during Fed interest rate hikes, as long as the economy remains strong.
  • ⏳ Investors should not be overly concerned about rising interest rates, as they are usually implemented during times of economic strength and low unemployment.
  • 🦺 Bonds still offer safety and can provide protection during periods of stock market volatility.
  • ✋ The stock market performance after the Fed stops raising interest rates is a critical factor to watch, as it indicates potential cracks in the economy and could lead to a market crash.
  • ☠️ Investors should look for opportunities in growth stocks that have sold off during rate hike cycles.

Transcript

so here we see that chart of how stocks bonds and real estate have done when the fed raised interest rates and you can see it's almost unanimously good positive returns throughout the one or even three year periods while the fed was increasing rates i'll walk you through this data but what this doesn't show and this is what could eventually kill th... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: Are rising interest rates responsible for the recent stock market downturn?

No, the recent selloff was more influenced by investor behavior and overreactions to expected news. Rising interest rates alone are not the primary driver of stock market performance.

Q: Why do stocks tend to perform well during Fed interest rate hikes?

Stocks typically do well during Fed interest rate hikes because they are usually implemented during times of economic strength, low unemployment, and healthy consumer spending, creating a favorable environment for stocks.

Q: Should investors be concerned about bonds during interest rate hikes?

No, historical data shows that all four categories of bonds have posted strong returns during past interest rate hikes. Bonds still offer safety and can provide protection in a volatile stock market.

Q: What comes after the Fed stops raising interest rates?

At that point, investors should start being cautious as it could indicate cracks appearing in the economy. The stock market has historically experienced downturns shortly after the Fed stops raising rates.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • The recent stock market selloff was not caused by the Fed's interest rate hikes, but rather by investor behavior and overreacting to expected news.

  • Historical data shows that stocks, bonds, and real estate have all generally posted positive returns during Fed interest rate hikes.

  • It is important to understand the reasons behind the Fed's interest rate hikes, such as maintaining low unemployment and controlling inflation, to better understand stock market performance.

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