Microsoft - Complete Stock Dividend Analysis | Investing in Stocks | Summary and Q&A

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August 19, 2019
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Let's Talk Money! with Joseph Hogue, CFA
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Microsoft - Complete Stock Dividend Analysis | Investing in Stocks

TL;DR

Microsoft's stock price has surged 200% in the last five years due to strong growth in its cloud business, but analysts have differing opinions on its future performance.

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Key Insights

  • 🧑‍💻 Microsoft's stock has performed exceptionally well in the last five years, outperforming the broader market and major tech stocks.
  • 😶‍🌫️ The company's cloud business, particularly Azure, has been a significant driver of growth and profitability.
  • 😘 Despite its lower dividend yield, Microsoft's total return and future growth potential make it an attractive investment option.
  • 🙃 Analysts have varying opinions on the future performance of Microsoft's stock, with price targets ranging from 17% upside to 33% downside.
  • 😶‍🌫️ The market sentiment towards Microsoft is overwhelmingly positive, but any negative news or slower growth in the cloud business could test investor sentiment.
  • 🥳 The current PE ratio of Microsoft's stock is relatively high compared to historical levels, which may limit further price appreciation.
  • 💪 Microsoft's strong balance sheet, with $134 billion in cash and generating $30 billion in annual cash flow, supports its ability to sustain its dividend and invest in future growth opportunities.

Transcript

The Microsoft stock price has surged over 200% in the last five years but are shares about to go a little soft? In this video, I’ll break down that massive return and give you a full analysis including the Microsoft stock news that could move the market. We’re talking investing in Microsoft today on Let’s Talk Money! Beat debt. Make money. Make you... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: How has Microsoft's stock price performed compared to the broader market and other major tech stocks?

Microsoft's stock has produced an annualized return of 27% over the last five years, outperforming the broader market and most big growth stocks like Facebook and Apple.

Q: Can Microsoft sustain its growth pace and continue to outperform?

Analysts have differing opinions on this. Some have a price target that suggests a 17% upside over the next year, while others have a bearish target with a potential 33% downside. The future performance will depend on factors like the company's cloud business growth and investor sentiment.

Q: Why is Microsoft's dividend yield lower despite increasing dividends?

The dividend yield is calculated by dividing the dividend by the stock price. Even though Microsoft has increased its dividend, its stock price has grown at a faster pace, resulting in a lower dividend yield. Currently, the dividend yield stands at 1.3%.

Q: What are the key factors driving Microsoft's growth?

Microsoft's cloud business, especially Azure, has been a major growth driver. Azure's sales have grown by 64% year-over-year, and the company has successfully transitioned to a subscription-based revenue model. Additionally, Office and other software products transitioning to the cloud have ensured a steady stream of revenue with higher profit margins.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Microsoft's stock has outperformed the broader market and big growth stocks like Facebook and Apple over the last five years, with an annualized return of 27%.

  • The company's cloud business, particularly Azure, has been a major driver of its success, with strong sales growth and improved profitability.

  • Although Microsoft's dividend yield has not kept pace with its stock price growth, its total return and future growth potential make it an attractive investment option.

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