How Warren Buffett Lost $2 Billion [3 Investing Rules the Hard Way] | Summary and Q&A

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August 20, 2018
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Let's Talk Money! with Joseph Hogue, CFA
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How Warren Buffett Lost $2 Billion [3 Investing Rules the Hard Way]

TL;DR

Warren Buffett lost almost $1.7 billion on one stock, IBM, due to three warning signs that investors should watch out for.

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Key Insights

  • 😚 Warren Buffett's worst investment was in IBM, where he lost almost $1.7 billion.
  • 🤘 The three warning signs for bad investments include not relying solely on past performance, prioritizing operational cash flow, and avoiding the temptation to catch a falling stock.
  • 🌚 Buffett's mistake with IBM was overlooking new challenges faced by the company's new CEO and excessive spending on buybacks instead of innovation.
  • 😫 Investors should set limits on their investments in a single company to prevent significant financial loss.

Transcript

Warren Buffett is loved as the Oracle of Omaha but not all his investments have come out sunshine and lollypops. In fact, Buffett lost nearly $1.7 billion on one stock just recently selling the last of his shares. In this video, I’ll reveal the three warning signs and ways to avoid a bad investment. We’re talking Warren Buffett’s worst investment t... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: Why did Warren Buffett invest in IBM despite not being a tech investor?

Buffett saw potential in IBM's ability to find and retain clients, believing it to be similar to stable businesses that he typically invested in.

Q: What were the three warning signs that led to Warren Buffett's loss on IBM?

Buffett overlooked new challenges faced by new CEO Ginni Rommetty, such as positioning for cloud services and exiting legacy businesses. He also ignored the company's excessive spending on buybacks instead of innovation and failed to set limits on his investment in the company.

Q: Can past performance be relied upon when making investment decisions?

While past performance can provide insights, it should not be the sole basis for investing. Factors such as management transitions and changing market dynamics must be considered.

Q: Why is operational cash flow important in evaluating a company's financial health?

Operational cash flow reflects the actual cash generated by the business, making it harder for management to manipulate. It provides a clearer picture of the company's financial stability and ability to invest in growth.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Warren Buffett invested in IBM in 2011, thinking it had stable cash flows similar to insurance companies and consumer staple stocks.

  • The investment initially paid off, with shares surging, but eventually turned south.

  • Three warning signs to avoid bad investments include not relying solely on past performance, prioritizing operational cash flow, and avoiding the temptation to catch a falling stock.

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