THE STOCK MARKET WON'T CRASH AND THIS IS WHY | Summary and Q&A
TL;DR
There are three possible scenarios that suggest the stock market might not crash and could even experience significant growth in the next 5-10 years, including central bank intervention, stocks as a protection against currency meltdowns, and the growth of dominant tech companies.
Key Insights
- 🏦 Central banks' intervention in financial markets might prevent a stock market crash during a recession.
- 🫰 The Bank of Japan's experience of buying stocks has propelled the Nikkei index higher over the past seven years.
- 🧑🏭 In the event of currency meltdowns, stocks can act as a protection and experience growth.
- 🥹 Dominant tech companies with vast data holdings and market capitalization could continue to increase in size and potentially drive the overall market higher.
- ☀️ An all-weather portfolio that includes diverse assets can provide protection and potentially yield positive returns in different economic scenarios.
- 🥅 It is important to assess financial goals, risk appetite, and the fit of an investment with one's financial situation before making decisions.
- 🍝 No one can predict future market scenarios with certainty, but analyzing past trends and considering different possibilities can help in developing investment strategies.
Transcript
good day fellow investors now there are a lot of people a lot of videos that predicate a stock market crash as you can see every time we have seen a recession in the last 20 years a stock market crash followed and we have seen one 2000-2002 50 percent 2007 2009 50 % and seeing how high stocks have gone in the last nine years it would be logical tha... Read More
Questions & Answers
Q: How has central bank intervention impacted the stock market in Japan?
The Bank of Japan has been buying stocks for the past seven years, which has led to the Nikkei index tripling in value. This shows that central bank intervention can successfully boost stock markets.
Q: What could drive stock prices up during currency meltdowns?
If currencies become worthless, stocks priced in those currencies, such as the S&P 500 priced in dollars, can actually go higher since they become a more valuable asset than the depreciating currency.
Q: How might dominant tech companies contribute to the growth of the stock market?
Companies like Google, Apple, and Facebook, with their vast amounts of data and market dominance, have the potential to enter various industries and drive their market capitalization higher, potentially lifting the overall stock market.
Q: What is an all-weather portfolio?
An all-weather portfolio is a diversified investment strategy that includes a mix of assets to protect against different economic scenarios, such as stocks for growth, inflationary protective assets, and gold for hedging against fear and higher inflation.
Summary & Key Takeaways
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Many predict a stock market crash in the next recession, but central banks could intervene to prevent this based on their increasing role in financial markets.
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The example of the Central Bank of Japan, which has been buying stocks for the past seven years, suggests that other central banks could follow this approach to keep stock markets high.
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In the event of currency meltdowns, stocks could provide protection and potentially increase in value.
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Dominant tech companies with vast amounts of data have the potential to expand into different sectors, making their market capitalization increase and potentially driving the overall market higher.