The Best Political Bets to Make in 2024 | Tim's Take | Summary and Q&A

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November 29, 2023
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The Bulwark
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The Best Political Bets to Make in 2024 | Tim's Take

TL;DR

Tim Miller provides his top picks for the Democratic nomination, 2024 Democratic ticket, and Republican VP, along with insights into the US presidential election winner.

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Key Insights

  • 😇 Joe Biden is the best value for the Democratic nomination at 68 cents.
  • 🎟️ Kamala Harris is likely to be on the 2024 Democratic ticket if Joe Biden is the nominee.
  • 🛻 Christie Noem is the favorite for Republican VP, but Robert Kennedy Jr. is a value pick with potential.
  • 🦕 Tim Miller believes Joe Biden has great value as the US presidential election winner at plus 260 odds.
  • 🦕 Overseas gambling odds makers favor Donald Trump over Joe Biden, which concerns Tim Miller.

Transcript

hey I'm Tim Miller with the bull workk and I'm here today doing some political prognosticating I'm into gambling I'm into politics who's up Who's down where I see value for you if you want to engage uh in in you know a little bit of a little bit of political gambling just for fun just for fun Z okay uh we have predicted which is like a political st... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: Why does Tim Miller believe Joe Biden is the best value for the Democratic nomination?

Tim Miller believes Joe Biden is a great value because, barring any health issues, he is likely to be the Democratic Presidential nominee. The current odds of 68 cents make it a compelling choice.

Q: Why does Tim Miller think Kamala Harris will be on the 2024 Democratic ticket?

Tim Miller believes Kamala Harris will be on the 2024 Democratic ticket because she is the sitting vice president, and there would be little time for anyone else to start a campaign. Her status as the first black woman nominee also works in her favor.

Q: Who does Tim Miller consider a safe pick for Republican VP?

Tim Miller considers Christie Noem a safe pick for Republican VP, as she is currently the favorite with 24 cents odds. He also suggests considering Robert Kennedy Jr. as a value pick, as there may be buzz about a potential Trump-Kennedy pairing.

Q: Why does Tim Miller believe Joe Biden has great value as the US presidential election winner?

Tim Miller believes Joe Biden has great value as the US presidential election winner because the odds at plus 260 are the best you'll get all year. If you believe Biden will win re-election and beat Donald Trump, now is the time to bet.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Joe Biden is currently the best value for the Democratic nomination at 68 cents, with Gavin Newsom being overrated.

  • Kamala Harris is likely to be on the 2024 Democratic ticket, as long as Joe Biden is the nominee.

  • Christie Noem is the favorite for Republican VP, but Robert Kennedy Jr. is a value pick with potential.

  • Tim Miller believes Joe Biden has great value as the US presidential election winner at plus 260 odds.

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