Saudi Arabia and Israel Want a US Security Deal || Peter Zeihan | Summary and Q&A

TL;DR

Talks between the US, Israel, and Saudi Arabia for a political and security deal are ongoing, with the Saudis seeking a security guarantee from the US in exchange for normalization of relations with Israel. However, it is unclear if the US is interested, and the Palestinians have not been consulted or invited to the negotiations.

Key Insights

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince, MBS, is driving the discussions for the potential deal, seeking American engagement and a security guarantee.
• 💍 The US, after years of involvement in the Middle East, is hesitant to re-engage without significant incentives.
• 😌 Israel welcomes US involvement, as it relieves pressure on their government, but the current Israeli government's conditions complicate the situation.
• 🇸🇦 The exclusion of Palestinians from the negotiations may indicate the seriousness of the talks or a shift in power dynamics within Saudi Arabia.

Transcript

hey everybody Peter zein here coming to you from Colorado and a lot of you have written in asking about ongoing conversations among the Americans the Israelis and the Saudis about some sort of broad spectrum political and Security deal uh at the moment there isn't one it's not imminent it's not even clear what it would be but the talks are absolute... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: What is the main objective of the Saudis in the political and security deal discussions?

The Saudis aim to secure ongoing American engagement in order to receive a security guarantee, similar to the US-Japan alliance, to deter potential threats.

Q: Why is the US hesitant to get involved in the deal?

After 70 years of involvement in the region, the US is currently disengaging and may not see enough incentives to re-engage, unless it is offered something significant.

Q: How do the Israelis view the potential deal?

Israel sees the involvement of the US positively, as it reduces the burden on their own troops, but the current Israeli government's conditions and strained relationship with the US complicate the situation.

Q: What does the exclusion of the Palestinians from the negotiations imply?

The Palestinians not being consulted or invited to the negotiation table suggests that the deal may be taken more seriously. If they are included in the final communique, it indicates a presence of the older generation still committed to the Palestinian cause.

Q: What is the main objective of the Saudis in the political and security deal discussions?

The Saudis aim to secure ongoing American engagement in order to receive a security guarantee, similar to the US-Japan alliance, to deter potential threats.

More Insights

• Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince, MBS, is driving the discussions for the potential deal, seeking American engagement and a security guarantee.

• The US, after years of involvement in the Middle East, is hesitant to re-engage without significant incentives.

• Israel welcomes US involvement, as it relieves pressure on their government, but the current Israeli government's conditions complicate the situation.

• The exclusion of Palestinians from the negotiations may indicate the seriousness of the talks or a shift in power dynamics within Saudi Arabia.

• The talks highlight the insecurity felt by Saudi Arabia as the US pulls back from the region.

Summary & Key Takeaways

• Ongoing discussions are taking place among the US, Israel, and Saudi Arabia for a potential broad spectrum political and security deal.

• The Saudi Crown Prince, MBS, wants American engagement to provide a security guarantee similar to the US-Japan alliance.

• The Saudis are offering normalization of relations with Israel, but the US may not be interested due to its disengagement from the region.