Most News is Noise (North Korea), Filter It Out and Look For Fundamental Investing News | Summary and Q&A

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September 12, 2017
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Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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Most News is Noise (North Korea), Filter It Out and Look For Fundamental Investing News

TL;DR

The stock market is largely unaffected by short-term news events like the threat of North Korea, and investors should instead focus on long-term fundamental news and market trends.

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Key Insights

  • 🇰🇵 Short-term news events like the threat of North Korea have minimal impact on the stock market, as demonstrated by the quick recovery observed.
  • 🥳 Historical events initially cause drops in the stock market, but the market tends to stabilize and rebound after 20 days.
  • 🧑‍🏭 Stock market volatility is primarily influenced by fundamental factors like earnings returns and market trends, rather than individual events.
  • 🍉 Investors should filter out noise and focus on long-term fundamental news to make informed investment decisions.
  • 🇰🇵 Major conflicts involving developed countries, such as North Korea attacking other powers, are highly unlikely and should not be a cause for concern.
  • 🥺 Analyzing fundamental trends and market indicators, rather than reacting to short-term events, will lead to better investment outcomes.
  • 🏦 Investors should pay attention to central bank actions and announcements, as they can significantly impact the stock market.

Transcript

good little investors in the last few weeks there has been a lot of chatter about North Korea there must not miss out testing what will happen will there be a nuclear war will the world collapse will China attacking whatever so and that something affected the stock market in this video I want to show you how important events have affected the stock... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: Why did the stock market quickly recover from the news about North Korea?

The stock market quickly recovered because short-term news events have minimal impact on long-term market trends. The initial panic was just noise, and the market eventually resumed its positive strength.

Q: Should investors be concerned about the threat of North Korea on their portfolio?

No, investors should filter out noise like the threat of North Korea. Major conflicts involving developed countries are highly unlikely, and it is more important to focus on fundamental news and long-term market trends.

Q: Do historical events significantly affect the stock market?

While historical events initially cause drops in the stock market, such as the 9/11 terror attacks, they tend to even out and do not have a lasting impact. Fundamental factors like earnings returns and market trends play a more significant role.

Q: What should investors focus on to make informed decisions?

Investors should focus on long-term fundamental news, such as central bank actions and market trends, rather than short-term events. Analyzing earnings returns and other fundamental factors will provide more valuable insights.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Short-term news events, such as North Korea's actions, have minimal impact on the stock market, as demonstrated by the quick recovery following a negative headline.

  • Historical events like Germany invading France in 1940 or the 9/11 terror attacks initially caused significant drops in the stock market, but after 20 days, the market tends to rebound and stabilize.

  • Stock market volatility is more heavily influenced by fundamental factors, such as earnings returns and market trends, rather than individual events.

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