Evaluating the Global Macro Landscape | Summary and Q&A

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July 15, 2019
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SALT
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Evaluating the Global Macro Landscape

TL;DR

The global macro backdrop is shaped by trends such as aging populations, rising middle classes in Asia, global populism, slowing global growth, and income inequality, which will impact investment opportunities in the future.

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Key Insights

  • 😷 Aging populations and rising middle classes in Asia will drive changes in consumption patterns and create opportunities for investment in the financial and medical sectors.
  • 🌐 Global populism and trade protectionism are significant factors that may impact global growth and trade.
  • 😄 China's economic situation has gone through a policy-driven slowdown, but recent easing measures suggest stabilization and a potential for GDP growth between 6.3% to 6.5%.
  • 😌 Investment opportunities lie in local markets, diversifying strategies, and focusing on sustainable development and technologies.
  • 🪛 In India, inclusion-driven changes such as financial inclusion, healthcare inclusion, digital inclusion, education inclusion, and workplace inclusion are driving economic growth and investment opportunities.

Transcript

good afternoon so uh before we get started I would like to introduce the rest of the panelists today so starting on the end we have Margaret wren she is the chairwoman of Bank of America's asia-pacific corporate and investment banking unit in the middle we have Johnny's Dion who is the CEO of BNP paribas US unit Yesi and khatam patel who is the CEO... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: What are the main factors driving the global macro backdrop?

The global macro backdrop is being shaped by trends such as an aging population, the rise of the middle class in Asia, global populism, slowing global growth, and income inequality.

Q: How will the aging population and rising middle class impact investment opportunities?

The aging population will create demand for financial products and innovative solutions in the medical industry. The rising middle class in Asia will drive higher consumption, the need for fixed income products, and the potential for infrastructure investments.

Q: What are the implications of rising global populism?

Global populism tends to be inflationary and is leading to a move towards trade protectionism. This may have an impact on global growth and trade.

Q: How is global growth expected to change in the coming years?

Global growth is forecasted to slow down from 3.7% in 2018 to under 3% by 2030. China is expected to overtake the US as the world's largest economy, and income inequality is projected to worsen due to demographic changes and automation.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • The world is experiencing an aging population and a growing middle class in Asia, which will drive higher consumption, the need for fixed income products, and innovative insurance solutions.

  • Global populism is on the rise, leading to inflationary pressures and a move towards trade protectionism.

  • Global growth is expected to slow down, with China overtaking the US as the world's largest economy. Income inequality will continue to rise due to demographic changes and automation.

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