CRAZY STOCK MARKET - AMIRA NATURE FOODS (ANFI) | Summary and Q&A

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May 12, 2018
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Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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CRAZY STOCK MARKET - AMIRA NATURE FOODS (ANFI)

TL;DR

Amira recently published their quarterly report, showing positive growth numbers, a stable report, and increased investments in working capital. However, concerns remain about cash flow, inventory management, lack of communication from management, and the potential for accounting irregularities.

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Key Insights

  • 💦 Amira's quarterly report shows positive growth numbers and increased investments in working capital, indicating stability and potential for growth in the future.
  • 🖤 Concerns about Amira's accounting practices and lack of communication from management create uncertainty and impact the company's risk/reward profile.
  • 🤘 The CEO's personal guarantee of $239 million in debt reflects a positive sign of confidence in the company's prospects.
  • 🇳🇿 Amira's plans to sell land and invest in a new processing factory demonstrate a commitment to expanding production capacity.
  • 😣 The risk of a credit tightening or default remains, and potential accounting irregularities could have severe consequences for the company's stock.
  • 🤙 The market may reward Amira if better communication is established through conference calls and if cash and dividends are introduced.
  • 🌾 Basmati rice prices and Iran sanction triggers pose potential challenges for Amira's future performance.

Transcript

good day fellow investors what a crazy week with ANSI so let's explain what happened why it happened what is going on let's read the report let's go through the report that anthe surprisingly published they didn't publish quarterly reports for about two years now and now they published it so a lot of news with Amira and I want to discuss what happe... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: What are the key financial figures mentioned in Amira's quarterly report?

Amira's quarterly report shows earnings per share of 55 cents, a 10% increase in revenue, and improved beta. However, concerns about low cash amounts and potential accounting irregularities remain.

Q: How does Amira's inventory management affect their risk/reward profile?

The change in inventory of finished goods raises concerns about Amira's accounting practices and the potential for artificially stabilizing profits. This affects their risk/reward profile as it could undermine the reliability of their financials.

Q: What are the risks associated with Amira's low cash amounts and intentional low credit to suppliers?

Amira's intentional low cash amounts and advanced payment to suppliers present risks in terms of liquidity and potential financial strain. If there is a default or accounting irregularities, it could be detrimental to the company.

Q: What potential rewards are there for investing in Amira at its current price?

If the reported figures are legitimate and Amira unlocks its value, there is potential for the stock to reach a value of $15-$20 per share, providing significant rewards for investors. However, timing and uncertainty surrounding the company's plans and communication make the potential rewards uncertain.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • Amira's quarterly report shows earnings per share of 55 cents for the nine months, with a 10% increase in revenue and improved beta.

  • The company's change in inventory of finished goods raised questions about their accounting practices and the possibility of artificially stabilizing profits.

  • Amira is intentionally keeping low cash amounts, which poses risks and has led to concerns about liquidity.

  • The company's past due credit has improved, indicating no immediate issues with trade receivables.

  • Amira plans to sell land for funding and invest in a new processing factory to increase production capacity.

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