10 Best Growth Stocks Analyzed (Dot-com Bubble or Disruption?) | Summary and Q&A

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January 12, 2021
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Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.
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10 Best Growth Stocks Analyzed (Dot-com Bubble or Disruption?)

TL;DR

This analysis explores 11 growth stocks and applies Peter Lynch's perspective on growth stocks to evaluate their valuation, investment return, and risks. The strategy involves investing in growth stocks with the potential for high returns, despite the risks associated with high valuations.

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Key Insights

  • 😘 Growth stocks require diligent research and analysis to identify low-risk, high-reward investments.
  • 🚚 Valuation tables are essential in evaluating growth stocks' potential for doubling in value and delivering adequate investment returns.
  • ☠️ Consider total addressable market, growth rates, and profit margins when assessing the risks and rewards of growth stocks.
  • 🍉 Investing in growth stocks involves betting on one or a few winners out of many potential losers, requiring a long-term perspective.

Transcript

good fell investors growth stocks are the hot topic tech autonomous drive genomics and as i'm a stock market researcher all i do is researching stocks so that on my stock market research platform i can increase the number of stocks followed to at least 50 covered stocks in north america europe asia and my goal is to look at as many stocks as possib... Read More

Questions & Answers

Q: How does Peter Lynch view the current stock market environment?

Peter Lynch warns about the risks associated with high valuations, especially in dot-com stocks. He emphasizes the importance of focusing on fundamentals and justifying growth stocks' valuations based on earnings.

Q: What factors are considered in the valuation table for growth stocks?

The valuation table takes into account market capitalization, revenue, growth rates, and projected earnings over a five-year period. It helps determine if the stocks have the potential to double in value and deliver a good investment return.

Q: What are the risks associated with investing in growth stocks?

The risks include the need for substantial growth to justify the stocks' valuations, potential competition entering the market, and the uncertainty of achieving projected earnings and profit margins. Additionally, market trends and external factors can impact the growth stocks' performance.

Q: Are there any key insights about specific growth stocks?

Answer:

  1. Roku: To double in value in five years, Roku needs to achieve significant revenue growth and improve profit margins by 16 times.

  2. Square: Square must grow revenues six times in the next five years to justify its market valuation. The key challenge lies in achieving rapid growth in revenue.

  3. Zillow: Zillow aims to double its market cap in five years by reaching $70 billion in revenue and earning $1.67 billion in profits. The company's success relies on tapping into a $1.9 trillion total addressable market.

  4. Tesla: Tesla's stock currently prices in significant future growth, requiring a 14-times increase in revenue over the next five years. The risks lie in sustaining high growth and profitability amidst potential competition.

  5. Pacific Biosciences: With no current growth, Pacific Biosciences needs to create a market and increase revenue by 29 times over the next five years to justify its valuation. The company's success hinges on capturing a significant share of the market.

  6. Twilio: Twilio must grow its revenue by 20 times over the next five years to support its valuation. The company needs to demonstrate consistent growth and improve profit margins.

  7. Docusign: Docusign, with a market valuation of $45 billion, needs to grow its revenue by 20 times to justify its stock price in five years. The key challenge is sustaining rapid growth and improving profit margins.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • The content focuses on researching and analyzing 11 growth stocks to identify low-risk, high-reward investment opportunities.

  • Peter Lynch's perspective is used to evaluate the current stock market environment and understand the risks and rewards associated with growth stocks.

  • A valuation table is created to determine the earnings required to justify the stocks' current and future market capitalization.

  • Key concepts such as total addressable market, growth rates, and profit margins are discussed to assess the risks and potential rewards of investing in these growth stocks.

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