Not My Party Ep 105 Realistic Nightmare | Summary and Q&A

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October 1, 2020
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The Bulwark
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Not My Party Ep 105 Realistic Nightmare

TL;DR

Trump's refusal to commit to a peaceful transfer of power has led to concerns about a potential coup, but the more realistic nightmare scenario involves a disputed vote count in swing states like Pennsylvania, leading to a constitutional standoff.

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Questions & Answers

Q: Can Trump stage a military coup to stay in power?

It is highly unlikely. Trump lacks the support of military generals and is more skilled at using social media than staging a coup. The scenario of a military coup is fictional and exaggerated.

Q: What is the nightmare scenario for the 2020 election?

The nightmare scenario involves a disputed vote count in swing states like Pennsylvania, leading to a constitutional standoff. This could result in competing slates of electors being sent to represent the state and potentially causing chaos.

Q: How could a disputed vote count be resolved?

A disputed vote count would have to be resolved by Congress or the Supreme Court. This could lead to an unprecedented fight over the election result, similar to the contested 2000 election.

Q: What happened in the contested 2000 election?

In the contested 2000 election, Al Gore conceded to George W. Bush after the Supreme Court intervened. This prevented a prolonged fight over the election result and highlighted the importance of putting the country over personal ego.

Summary & Key Takeaways

  • The author discusses concerns about Trump potentially refusing to leave office and staging a coup, but dismisses this as unlikely due to his lack of support from military generals.

  • Instead, the author raises the possibility of a disputed vote count in swing states like Pennsylvania, which could lead to a constitutional standoff and a fight over the election result.

  • The author references the contested 2000 election as a precedent, highlighting the potential for chaos and an unprecedented outcome.

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