Kerry Friend
@kerryfriend
Joined Feb 16, 2022
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Learns #Human Behavior #Design #Network Effect #Philosophy #Web3.0
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teara.govt.nz/en/photograph/1196/tane-mahuta-lord-of-the-forest
Jun 28, 2023
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thebigidea.nz/stories/unforgivable-attack-latest-blow-in-gutting-of-nz-theatre-education
Jun 26, 2023
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www.sciencenews.org/article/sean-carroll-something-deeply-hidden-quantum-physics-many-worlds
Jun 25, 2023
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techcrunch.com/2023/05/12/austin-russell-became-the-youngest-self-made-billionaire-in-2021-now-he-owns-forbes/?cx_testId=6&cx_testVariant=cx_undefined&cx_artPos=0
Jun 24, 2023
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shapeofdesignbook.com/chapters/00-foreword/
Jun 24, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Locke
Jun 16, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Louis_Stevenson
Jun 16, 2023
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media.nesta.org.uk/documents/nesta_ideo_guide_jan2017.pdf
Jun 16, 2023
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www.nfx.com/post/network-effects-bible
Jun 16, 2023
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www.themarginalian.org/2023/06/05/robert-louis-stevenson-the-lantern-bearers/?mc_cid=86bb7673ef&mc_eid=72927665b8
Jun 16, 2023
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www.bing.com/search?q=create&cvid=3062e427af6940e28d9c91bf1768e89e&aqs=edge..69i57j0l5j69i61j69i60l2.1056j0j1&FORM=ANAB01&PC=U531
Jun 16, 2023
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www.themarginalian.org/2023/01/04/seneca-creativity-bees/
Jun 16, 2023
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techcrunch.com/2021/08/13/twitter-india-head-moves-to-a-different-role/
Jun 15, 2023
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techcrunch.com/2023/06/12/india-twitter-jack-dorsey/?utm_source=extension&utm_medium=click&utm_campaign=muzli
Jun 15, 2023
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tedgioia.substack.com/p/how-songs-created-western-rational
Jun 10, 2023
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arstechnica.com/culture/2023/06/rejoice-its-2023-and-you-can-still-buy-a-22-volume-paper-encyclopedia/
Jun 10, 2023
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www.creativecurrents.io/p/the-philosophy-of-slow-design?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
Jun 9, 2023
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feeds.acast.com/public/shows/the-wellbeing-lab-with-will-young
Jun 7, 2023
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www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2023/06/paddy-gower-has-issues-students-pull-out-their-phones-rather-than-help-11yo-beaten-up-at-napier-school.html
Jun 7, 2023
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www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2023/04/05/the-worlds-peak-population-may-be-smaller-than-expected?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
Jun 5, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_energy_principle
May 25, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_blanket
May 25, 2023
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plato.stanford.edu/entries/phenomenology/
May 25, 2023
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www.linkedin.com/pulse/exposing-adhd-scandal-leanne-maskell/
May 22, 2023
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www.linkedin.com/pulse/end-adhd-exploitation-sign-petition-public-inquiry-leanne-maskell/?midToken=AQFX5UOcqejc_Q&midSig=2IM3H3jGHksWM1&trk=eml-email_series_follow_newsletter_01-newsletter_hero_banner-0-open_on_linkedin_cta&trkEmail=eml-email_series_follow_newsletter_01-newsletter_hero_banner-0-open_on_linkedin_cta-null-1bmrnl~lhykv4t1~g5-null-null&eid=1bmrnl-lhykv4t1-g5
May 22, 2023
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adjacentpossible.substack.com/p/project-tailwind
May 22, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicolas_Berggruen
May 17, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Kurzweil
May 17, 2023
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May 17, 2023
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www.workplaceinclusion.org/programme
May 17, 2023
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May 17, 2023
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www.jpost.com/health-and-wellness/mind-and-spirit/what-causes-adhd-new-israeli-study-may-have-found-out-687668
May 17, 2023
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May 17, 2023
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nielseniq.com/global/en/insights/analysis/2023/tl-consumer-outlook-2023-the-unsettled-state-of-global-consumers/
May 16, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karma_Kagyu
May 14, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karmapa_controversy
May 14, 2023
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www.platformer.news/p/the-withering-email-that-got-an-ethical
May 12, 2023
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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeno%27s_paradoxes
May 11, 2023
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May 11, 2023
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Yet few have noticed a wealth of new data that suggest that Africa’s birth rate is falling far more quickly than expected. Though plenty of growth is still baked in, this could have a huge impact on Africa’s total population by 2100. It could also provide a big boost to the continent’s economic development. “We have been underestimating what is happening in terms of fertility change in Africa,” says Jose Rimon II of Johns Hopkins University. “Africa will probably undergo the same kind of rapid changes as east Asia did.”
Yet even the un’s latest projections may not be keeping pace with the rapid decline in fertility rates (the average number of children that women are expected to have) that some striking recent studies show. Most remarkable is Nigeria, where a un-backed survey in 2021 found the fertility rate had fallen to 4.6 from 5.8 just five years earlier. This figure seems to be broadly confirmed by another survey, this time backed by usaid, America’s aid agency, which found a fertility rate of 4.8 in 2021, down from 6.1 in 2010. “Something is happening,” muses Argentina Matavel of the un Population Fund.
population growth rates slow sharply in a process often known as a demographic transition.
“When you see a precipitous decline in fertility, your starting-point is that something is wrong with the data,” says Tom Moultrie of the University of Cape Town. Some point out that survey responses in Africa on desired family size have fallen little, though not all recent surveys ask that question.
past plunges have been strongly associated with higher use of contraception, often thanks to big government pushes. I
In Malawi and Kenya well over half of married women use modern contraception such as the pill or injectables, while in Ethiopia about 40% do. The use of such methods is markedly lower in west Africa (see map), but improvements from a low base are probably part of the reason for the fertility drops. In Nigeria contraception use has gone from 11% to 18% in the past five years. In Senegal it has doubled to 26% in the past decade.
“There is no verse in the Holy Koran where Muslims are forbidden from controlling, planning or restricting the number of children they have,” says Shuaib Mukhtar Shuaib, one such cleric.
Girls’ education also makes a big difference to fertility rates
In the past many African politicians were suspicious that Western eagerness to promote family planning was a ruse to keep African countries from growing populous and strong. Such attitudes are rarer these days. Alas, another form of muddle-headed thinking has taken root among Western environmentalists, who link Africa’s population growth to climate change.
wealthy Westerners cause many times more greenhouse-gas emissions than Africans do. That “we should have fewer Africans so we can drive polluting cars seems to me a really odd ethical position to take,” points out David Canning of Harvard University. Worries about African migration to Europe also seem peculiar, since the eu and Britain are expected to be short of about 44m workers by 2050, even with normal migration flows.
sub-Saharan Africa has an average of 48 people per square kilometre, which is far lower than Britain (277), Japan (346) or South Korea (531).
Malthusian trap, named after Thomas Malthus, who claimed population growth would outstrip food supply, leading to catastrophe.
Trade and global food production, which is rising while the amount of land used for it is falling, means that neither sub-regions nor even countries need be self-sufficient provided their economies produce the wealth to buy it.
Nor is it because high population growth necessarily means economic growth per head is low. “It’s not very clear that we have the data to be able to say for sure that the population growth rate itself is bad or good,” says Anne Bakilana of the World Bank. Richer places have fewer children and higher savings rates. But teasing out the causality is tricky.
Women and children are both more likely to prosper as fertility rates fall. Fertility drops usually mean wider gaps between births and fewer teenage pregnancies: both help reduce risks to a mother’s health. And falling fertility rates mean there are more working-age adults relative to the number of children. With fewer mouths to feed at home, each child is more likely to get enough food, as well as books and uniforms for school. At the national level smaller cohorts could allow governments to spend more per child
Falling fertility rates also excite economists because they boost both the working-age share of the population and the number of women in the workforce.