Kazuki
@kazuki
Cofounder of Glasp. I collect ideas and stories worth sharing 📚
San Francisco, CA
Joined Oct 9, 2020
1073
Following
5838
Followers
1.47k
13.59k
172.08k
gibsonbiddle.medium.com/branding-for-builders-19e103ef3f1d
Jan 18, 2024
201
fronterabrands.com/simple-brands/
Jan 18, 2024
81
fs.blog/munger-operating-system/
Jan 16, 2024
41
www.paulgraham.com/schlep.html
Jan 4, 2024
5
www.goodreads.com/work/quotes/42099162-the-wright-brothers
Dec 28, 2023
1
paulgraham.com/organic.html
Dec 27, 2023
101
www.appleseeds.org/DareRoos.htm
Dec 22, 2023
2
blog.samaltman.com/what-i-wish-someone-had-told-me
Dec 22, 2023
91
www.pinecone.io/learn/vector-search-filtering/
Dec 20, 2023
51
bigthink.com/business/great-leader-embrace-imposter-syndrome/
Dec 14, 2023
4
markmanson.net/screw-finding-your-passion
Dec 14, 2023
62
www.coatue.com/blog/perspective/ai-the-coming-revolution-2023
Dec 6, 2023
61
www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjkBMFhNj_g
Nov 27, 2023
123
www.gatesnotes.com/AI-agents
Nov 21, 2023
123
blog.samaltman.com/board-members
Nov 20, 2023
71
paulgraham.com/5founders.html
Nov 20, 2023
5
paulgraham.com/control.html
Nov 18, 2023
2
www.lisnewsletter.com/p/love-vs-fame-a-framework-for-social
Nov 14, 2023
10
openai.com/blog/new-models-and-developer-products-announced-at-devday
Nov 7, 2023
92
foundersfactory.substack.com/p/canva-founders
Nov 1, 2023
81
paulgraham.com/superlinear.html
Oct 24, 2023
234
textswithfounders.substack.com/p/texts-with-founders-company-values
Oct 17, 2023
42
www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2023/10/5/unbundling-ai/
Oct 16, 2023
3
blog.samaltman.com/the-days-are-long-but-the-decades-are-short
Oct 11, 2023
173
www.nfx.com/post/14th-network-effect-expertise
Oct 6, 2023
10
www.scotthyoung.com/blog/2022/07/05/85-percent-rule/
Oct 5, 2023
8
www.scotthyoung.com/blog/2023/01/24/learning-age-decline/
Oct 5, 2023
7
medium.com/@nesmann/establishing-a-reading-habit-5e33ac3b20e0
Oct 3, 2023
51
collabfund.com/blog/a-few-things-im-pretty-sure-about-0923/
Sep 27, 2023
91
www.wsj.com/articles/BL-232B-2715
Sep 24, 2023
8
www.anthropic.com/index/prompting-long-context
Sep 23, 2023
5
blog.eladgil.com/p/unicorn-market-cap-2023-rise-of-ai
Sep 23, 2023
6
ryanholiday.net/these-38-reading-rules-changed-my-life/
Sep 16, 2023
131
collabfund.com/blog/respect-and-admiration/
Sep 16, 2023
3
arxiv.org/pdf/2308.09045.pdf
Sep 16, 2023
9
digitalnative.substack.com/p/when-ai-begins-to-replace-humans
Sep 14, 2023
101
twitter.com/snowmaker/status/1696026604030595497
Sep 12, 2023
2
www.sarahtavel.com/p/ai-startups-sell-work-not-software
Sep 5, 2023
2
meaningness.com/geeks-mops-sociopaths
Sep 5, 2023
131
www.theverge.com/2023/8/25/23845590/note-taking-apps-ai-chat-distractions-notion-roam-mem-obsidian
Sep 2, 2023
101
superlinear returns for performance are a feature of the world, not an artifact of rules we've invented. We see the same pattern in fame, power, military victories, knowledge, and even benefit to humanity. In all of these, the rich get richer.
the companies with high growth rates tend to become immensely valuable, while the ones with lower growth rates may not even survive.
Y Combinator encourages founders to focus on growth rate rather than absolute numbers.
the main advantage is that by focusing on growth rate you tend to get something that grows exponentially.
Crossing thresholds leads to exponential growth: the winning side in a battle usually suffers less damage, which makes them more likely to win in the future. And exponential growth helps you cross thresholds: in a market with network effects, a company that grows fast enough can shut out potential competitors.
Knowledge seems to be fractal in the sense that if you push hard at the boundary of one area of knowledge, you sometimes discover a whole new field. And if you do, you get first crack at all the new discoveries to be made in it. Newton did this, and so did Durer and Darwin.
There are two ways work can compound. It can compound directly, in the sense that doing well in one cycle causes you to do better in the next.
work can compound by teaching you, since learning compounds. This second case is an interesting one because you may feel you're doing badly as it's happening. You may be failing to achieve your immediate goal. But if you're learning a lot, then you're getting exponential growth nonetheless.
always be learning. If you're not learning, you're probably not on a path that leads to superlinear returns.
don't overoptimize what you're learning. Don't limit yourself to learning things that are already known to be valuable. You're learning; you don't know for sure yet what's going to be valuable, and if you're too strict you'll lop off the outliers.
if you come across something that's mediocre yet still popular, it could be a good idea to replace it. For example, if a company makes a product that people dislike yet still buy, then presumably they'd buy a better alternative if you made one.
one heuristic here is to be driven by curiosity rather than careerism — to give free rein to your curiosity instead of working on what you're supposed to.
people who do well will do even better, but those who do badly will do worse.
The most obvious way to take advantage of superlinear returns for performance is by doing exceptionally good work.
to do something exceptionally well, you have to be interested in it. Mere diligence is not enough. So in a world with superlinear returns, it's even more valuable to know what you're interested in, and to find ways to work on it.
Choose work you have a natural aptitude for and a deep interest in. Develop a habit of working on your own projects; it doesn't matter what they are so long as you find them excitingly ambitious. Work as hard as you can without burning out, and this will eventually bring you to one of the frontiers of knowledge. These look smooth from a distance, but up close they're full of gaps. Notice and explore such gaps, and if you're lucky one will expand into a whole new field. Take as much risk as you can afford; if you're not failing occasionally you're probably being too conservative. Seek out the best colleagues. Develop good taste and learn from the best examples. Be honest, especially with yourself. Exercise and eat and sleep well and avoid the more dangerous drugs. When in doubt, follow your curiosity. It never lies, and it knows more than you do about what's worth paying attention to.
to be lucky. Luck is always a factor, but it's even more of a factor when you're working on your own rather than as part of an organization. And though there are some valid aphorisms about luck being where preparedness meets opportunity and so on, there's also a component of true chance that you can't do anything about. The solution is to take multiple shots. Which is another reason to start taking risks early.
look for fields where a few big winners outperform everyone else. A kind of work where everyone does about the same is unlikely to be one with superlinear returns.
What are fields where a few big winners outperform everyone else? Here are some obvious ones: sports, politics, art, music, acting, directing, writing, math, science, starting companies, and investing.
You can't publish papers saying things that other people have already said. But it's just as true in investing, for example. It's only useful to believe that a company will do well if most other investors don't; if everyone else thinks the company will do well, then its stock price will already reflect that, and there's no room to make money.
Superlinear returns seem small at first. At this rate, you find yourself thinking, I'll never get anywhere. But because the reward curve rises so steeply at the far end, it's worth taking extraordinary measures to get there.
our curiosity won't let you be interested in boring questions, and interesting questions tend to create fields with superlinear returns if they're not already part of one.
while both ambition and curiosity can get you into this territory, curiosity may be the more powerful of the two. Ambition tends to make you climb existing peaks, but if you stick close enough to an interesting enough question, it may grow into a mountain beneath you.