The Misunderstood Potential of Ethereum: Why a $2.2k ETH Price is Undervalued

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Apr 06, 2024

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The Misunderstood Potential of Ethereum: Why a $2.2k ETH Price is Undervalued

Introduction:

In recent news, Pizza Hut franchisees have laid off over 1,200 delivery drivers in California, signaling the potential impact of rising fast-food wages. Meanwhile, Ryan Sean Adams, an influential figure in the cryptocurrency community, expresses his disbelief at the current price of Ethereum (ETH), stating that $2.2k is hilariously low. In this article, we will delve into the underlying factors that make Ethereum a highly undervalued asset and why its potential is vastly underestimated.

The Sahm Indicator: An Indicator of Unreported Layoffs:

The Sahm Indicator, which measures the impact of job losses in real-time, reveals a concerning trend. Many layoffs that have occurred in the past two months are not accurately reflected in the current data. This indicator suggests that the economic situation may be worse than what is officially reported. The layoffs in the fast-food industry, such as the recent Pizza Hut layoffs, serve as a reminder of the challenges faced by businesses in adapting to rising wages.

ETH's Fundamentals vs. Speculative Trading:

Ryan Sean Adams points out that while traders engage in speculative trading, Ethereum stands strong with its fundamentals. With an annualized profit of $2.7 billion, Ethereum is the only profitable chain in the market. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 98 indicates its undervalued nature, especially when compared to the likes of Amazon (P/E of 75) and Zoom (P/E of 153). These figures highlight the vast potential for growth and value in Ethereum.

The Rise of Layer 2 Chains and Deflationary Nature:

This cycle, Ethereum has seen the emergence of Layer 2 chains, which have become significant net buyers of blockspace. These Layer 2 chains contribute to Ethereum's deflationary nature, as it now burns only around 0.5% per year, compared to the 3-4% inflation experienced in the previous cycle. This transition not only enhances Ethereum's value proposition but also solidifies it as a monetary instrument akin to digital gold. If Ethereum had the same monetary amplifier as gold, its worth would already be around $22k.

Real Returns and the Ethereum Bond:

Ethereum bond holders, known as validators, are now earning a substantial 5.3% per year. Unlike other chains, these returns are not just nominal but represent real returns. This feature positions ETH as the internet bond, providing investors with an opportunity to earn attractive yields in the digital realm. Such benefits further contribute to the undervaluation of Ethereum.

The Potential for an ETF and ESG Considerations:

There is a high likelihood that Ethereum will achieve the status of a spot ETF, joining Bitcoin (BTC) as the only two cryptocurrencies to achieve this feat. This achievement could open the floodgates for trillions of dollars in locked capital inflows into Ethereum. Moreover, Ethereum's transition to a fully proof-of-stake consensus mechanism eliminates the energy consumption concerns associated with traditional mining, making it an attractive choice for environmentally and socially conscious investors.

Actionable Advice:

  • 1. Consider Ethereum's fundamentals: Look beyond short-term price fluctuations and explore the underlying fundamentals that make Ethereum an undervalued asset. Educate yourself about the network's profitability, deflationary nature, and potential for growth.
  • 2. Diversify your portfolio: Allocate a portion of your investment portfolio to Ethereum. Given its strong fundamentals, potential for an ETF, and the emergence of Layer 2 solutions, Ethereum presents an opportunity for long-term growth and value accumulation.
  • 3. Stay informed and updated: Keep track of developments in the Ethereum ecosystem, such as the implementation of Ethereum 2.0, the progress of Layer 2 solutions, and regulatory advancements. Stay ahead of the curve to make informed investment decisions.

Conclusion:

While the current price of $2.2k may seem low, Ethereum's potential is far from being fully realized. Its profitability, deflationary nature, and the emergence of Layer 2 chains position it as a highly undervalued asset. Investors should consider the long-term prospects of Ethereum and diversify their portfolios accordingly. As the market continues to evolve, staying informed and taking advantage of opportunities within the Ethereum ecosystem will be key to maximizing returns.

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